Frances Tiafoe and Alexei Popyrin will fight against each other in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexei Popyrin who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexei Popyrin is the pick to win this match.
Alexei Popyrin -> 1.88
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.93

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexei Popyrin

There is no head to head record between Frances Tiafoe and Alexei Popyrin since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 20, Francis got to the 4^th round after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5, Alexander Shevchenko 6-4 6-1 1-0 ret. and Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Tiafoe had a tough win against Shelton to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3). During the match, Tiafoe scored 173 points vs Shelton’s 158. Francis was pretty aggressive to blast 69 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tiafoe fired 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was very effective on serve to win 76% (69/91) of his 1st serve and 60% (41/68) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The American broke Shelton 5 times after converting 24% of his break points (5/21).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francis has surrendered 3 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Tiafoe has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (348-243). 18-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has an overall 175-116 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Francis’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Houston and Cincinnati.

The American has an aggregate 27-20 win-loss record in 2024, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Alexei Popyrin

Ranked no. 28, Alexei reached the 4^th round after defeating Soon-Woo Kwon 7-5 6-2 6-3, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-2 6-4 6-0 and Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Alexei had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4). During the match Popyrin scored 130 points vs Djokovic’s 127. Popyrin was very aggressive to blast 55 winners.

About the serving games, Popyrin managed to score 15 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 58% of his first serves in, winning 74% (55/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (24/53) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Djokovic 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexei has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Montreal where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-4.

Alexei has an aggregate 25-16 win-loss record in 2024, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019 and 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tiafoe	Popyrin
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	13	10
Tot Games	113	91
Pts	388-329	320-250
Total Points	717	570
Winners	157	121
%Winners	40%	38%

Both Tiafoe and Popyrin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Frances Tiafoe lost 3 sets, while Alexei Popyrin lost 1 set. Tiafoe has played 3 sets more than Popyrin (13 vs 10). Therefore, Tiafoe played 22 games more than Popyrin. Tiafoe scored 157 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 121 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tiafoe	Popyrin
Aces	28	42
Avg per match	9.3	14
1st in	208/354	150/270
%1st in	59%	56%
1st pts	157/208	121/150
%1st pts	75%	81%
2nd pts	84/146	58/120
%2nd pts	58%	48%

Tiafoe recorded 28 aces (9.3 per match). Popyrin fired 42 aces (14 per match). Tiafoe won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tiafoe	Popyrin
Won	14	20
Converted	14/46	20/38
% Converted	30%	53%
Conceded	20	25
Saved	14	17
% Saved	70%	68%
Times Broken	6	8

The American broke his opponents 14 times with a 30% conversion rate. Tiafoe dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. Alexei conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
	R1 Kovacevic	R2 Shevchenko	R3 Shelton	Total
Score	6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5	6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.	4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	4	3	5	12
Tot Games	41	18	54	113
pts	144-122	71-49	173-158	388-329
Total points	266	120	331	717
Winners	61	27	69	157
%Winners	42%	38%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	18	5	5	28
Double Faults	5	1	5	11
1st in	76/131	41/64	91/159	208/354
% 1st in	58%	64%	57%	59%
1st pts	61/76	27/41	69/91	157/208
% 1st pts	80%	66%	76%	75%
2nd pts	29/55	14/23	41/68	84/146
% 2nd pts	53%	61%	60%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	14
Converted	4/14	5/11	5/21	14/46
Converted %	29%	45%	24%	30%
Conceded	8	5	7	20
Saved	6/8	4/5	4/7	14
Saved %	75%	80%	57%	71%
Times Broken	2	1	3	6

Popyrin
	R1 Kwon	R2 Martinez Portero	R3 Djokovic	Total
Score	7-5 6-2 6-3	6-2 6-4 6-0	6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	4	10
Tot Games	29	24	38	91
pts	101-68	89-55	130-127	320-250
Total points	169	144	257	570
Winners	34	32	55	121
%Winners	34%	36%	42%	38%
SERVE
Aces	14	13	15	42
Double Faults	5	7	6	18
1st in	37/74	39/69	74/127	150/270
% 1st in	50%	57%	58%	56%
1st pts	34/37	32/39	55/74	121/150
% 1st pts	92%	82%	74%	81%
2nd pts	22/37	12/30	24/53	58/120
% 2nd pts	59%	40%	45%	48%
Breaks
Won	6	9	5	20
Converted	6/10	9/16	5/12	20/38
Converted %	60%	56%	42%	53%
Conceded	5	4	16	25
Saved	4/5	1/4	12/16	17
Saved %	80%	25%	75%	60%
Times Broken	1	3	4	8

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7⁵ 6-1 3-6 7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-7¹ 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7(5) 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7(4) 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction