Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov will fight against each other in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.75
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.08

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This will be the 8^th time that Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rublev won 7-6(7) 6-3 in the semifinal in Shanghai back in 2023.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Grigor Dimitrov – Shanghai 14-October-2023

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 6, the Russian got to the 4^th round after beating Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-3 7-6(3) 7-5, Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2 and Jiri Lehecka 6-3 7-5 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 109 points vs Lehecka’s 87. Andrey was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 13 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 61% of his first serves in, winning 89% (48/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Lehecka 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rublev has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (427-237). 24-8 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a composed 177-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

The Russian has an aggregate 37-17 win-loss record in 2024, 24-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Grigor Dimitrov

Ranked no. 9, the Bulgarian got to the 4^th round after defeating Kyrian Jacquet 6-3 6-4 6-2, Rinky Hijikata 6-1 6-1 7-6(4) and Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-3 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, The Bulgarian had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1). During the match Dimitrov scored 83 points vs Griekspoor’s 57. The Bulgarian was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Dimitrov made 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was pretty efficient on serve to win 92% (35/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Grigor broke Griekspoor 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Bulgarian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

Grigor has a compiled 36-13 win-loss record in 2024, 18-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Dimitrov
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	11	9
Tot Games	110	79
Pts	386-311	283-194
Total Points	697	477
Winners	157	104
%Winners	41%	37%

Both Rublev and Dimitrov played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev dropped 2 sets while Grigor Dimitrov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rublev has played 2 sets more than Dimitrov (11 vs 9). Therefore, Rublev played 31 games more than Dimitrov. Andrey scored 157 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 104 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Dimitrov
Aces	55	37
Avg per match	18.3	12.3
1st in	195/339	116/217
%1st in	58%	53%
1st pts	157/195	104/116
%1st pts	81%	90%
2nd pts	76/144	56/101
%2nd pts	53%	55%

Rublev made 55 aces (18.3 per match). Dimitrov scored 37 aces (12.3 per match). Rublev won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 90% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Dimitrov
Won	18	17
Converted	18/45	17/34
% Converted	40%	50%
Conceded	33	7
Saved	25	5
% Saved	76%	71%
Times Broken	8	2

Andrey broke his opponents 18 times with a 40% conversion rate. Rublev dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Grigor broke his opponents 17 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R1 Seyboth	R2 Rinderknech	R3 Lehecka	Total
Score	6-3 7-63 7-5	4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2	6-3 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	5	3	11
Tot Games	34	45	31	110
pts	108-83	169-141	109-87	386-311
Total points	191	310	196	697
Winners	41	68	48	157
%Winners	38%	40%	44%	41%
SERVE
Aces	16	26	13	55
Double Faults	4	8	6	18
1st in	52/86	89/165	54/88	195/339
% 1st in	60%	54%	61%	58%
1st pts	41/52	68/89	48/54	157/195
% 1st pts	79%	76%	89%	81%
2nd pts	27/34	35/76	14/34	76/144
% 2nd pts	79%	46%	41%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	9	5	18
Converted	4/6	9/23	5/16	18/45
Converted %	67%	39%	31%	40%
Conceded	2	24	7	33
Saved	1/2	19/24	5/7	25
Saved %	50%	79%	71%	67%
Times Broken	1	5	2	8

Dimitrov
	R1 Jacquet	R2 Hijikata	R3 Griekspoor	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 6-2	6-1 6-1 7-64	6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	27	27	25	79
pts	98-71	102-66	83-57	283-194
Total points	169	168	140	477
Winners	33	36	35	104
%Winners	34%	35%	42%	37%
SERVE
Aces	11	15	11	37
Double Faults	7	6	3	16
1st in	38/80	40/67	38/70	116/217
% 1st in	48%	60%	54%	53%
1st pts	33/38	36/40	35/38	104/116
% 1st pts	87%	90%	92%	90%
2nd pts	22/42	16/27	18/32	56/101
% 2nd pts	52%	59%	56%	55%
Breaks
Won	6	6	5	17
Converted	6/16	6/12	5/6	17/34
Converted %	38%	50%	83%	50%
Conceded	6	1	0	7
Saved	5/6	0/1	0/0	5
Saved %	83%	0%	–	28%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7⁵ 6-1 3-6 7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-7¹ 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7(5) 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7(4) 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction