Yasutaka Uchiyama and Mark Lajal will fight against each other in the final of the Zhangjiagang Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mark Lajal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mark Lajal is the pick to win this match.
Mark Lajal -> 1.69
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Yasutaka Uchiyama vs. Mark Lajal

This will be the 2^nd time that Yasutaka Uchiyama and Mark Lajal clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Lajal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Lajal won 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the 2^nd round in the Chicago Challenger back in 2023.

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Ranked no. 197, the Japanese reached the final after defeating Yuta Shimizu 6-2 1-0 ret., Vadym Ursu 6-2 6-1, Tung-Lin Wu 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 and Seong Chan Hong 6-3 6-7(6) 4-0 ret..

In the semifinal against Chan Hong, the Japanese had a free pass after Chan Hong retired on a 6-3 6-7⁶ 4-0 . scoreline.

Uchiyama has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (269-224). 20-11 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Uchiyama has an overall 197-143 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Busan Challenger where he overcame Seong Chan Hong in the final 7-6(4) 6-3.

The Japanese has a composed 24-15 win-loss record in 2024, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Zhangjiagang Challenger

Mark Lajal

Ranked no. 247, Mark reached the final after defeating Philip Henning 4-6 7-5 7-6(5), Ryan Peniston 6-2 6-2, Rio Noguchi 6-4 6-2 and Norbert Gombos 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Lajal had a good straight sets win against Gombos (6-3 6-4). During the match Lajal scored 71 points vs Gombos’s 62. The Estonian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Lajal struck 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Mark Lajal lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Lajal put 65% of his first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (9/25) on the 2nd serve. Mark broke Gombos 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mark has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Estonian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Shenzhen 1 Challenger and the Zhangjiagang Challenger.

The Estonian has a compiled 24-20 win-loss record in 2024, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Zhangjiagang Challenger

Mark has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Uchiyama	Lajal
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	12	9
Tot Games	82	88
Pts	256-195	301-250
Total Points	451	551
Winners	112	139
%Winners	44%	46%

Both Uchiyama and Lajal played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Yasutaka Uchiyama conceded 2 sets, while Mark Lajal dropped 1 set. Uchiyama has played 3 sets more than Lajal (12 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Uchiyama played 6 games less than Lajal. Uchiyama scored 112 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Lajal recorded 139 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Uchiyama	Lajal
Aces	23	25
Avg per match	5.8	6.3
1st in	138/224	168/268
%1st in	62%	63%
1st pts	112/138	139/168
%1st pts	81%	83%
2nd pts	49/86	49/100
%2nd pts	57%	49%

Uchiyama scored 23 aces (5.8 per match). Lajal blasted 25 aces (6.3 per match). Uchiyama won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Lajal won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Uchiyama	Lajal
Won	11	13
Converted	11/22	13/31
% Converted	50%	42%
Conceded	9	15
Saved	7	11
% Saved	78%	73%
Times Broken	2	4

The Japanese broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Uchiyama dropped his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Lajal broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. Mark conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Uchiyama
	R1 Shimizu	R2 Ursu	1/4 Wu	1/2 Chan Hong	Total
Score	6-2 1-0 ret.	6-2 6-1	6-75 6-3 6-4	6-3 6-76 4-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	9	15	32	26	82
pts	–	61-38	104-87	91-70	256-195
Total points	0	99	191	161	451
Winners		27	45	40	112
%Winners	0%	44%	43%	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	0	8	8	7	23
Double Faults		3	2	1	6
1st in	/	32/55	57/92	49/77	138/224
% 1st in	0%	58%	62%	64%	62%
1st pts	/	27/32	45/57	40/49	112/138
% 1st pts	0%	84%	79%	82%	81%
2nd pts	/	11/23	22/35	16/28	49/86
% 2nd pts	0%	48%	63%	57%	57%
Breaks
Won		4	3	4	11
Converted	/	4/5	3/11	4/6	11/22
Converted %	0%	80%	27%	67%	50%
Conceded		3	4	2	9
Saved	0/	3/3	3/4	1/2	7
Saved %	–	100%	75%	50%	56%
Times Broken		0	1	1	2

Lajal
	R1 Henning	R2 Peniston	1/4 Noguchi	1/2 Gombos	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 7-65	6-2 6-2	6-4 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	35	16	18	19	88
pts	106-105	61-40	63-43	71-62	301-250
Total points	211	101	106	133	551
Winners	52	26	25	36	139
%Winners	49%	43%	40%	51%	46%
SERVE
Aces	15	3	4	3	25
Double Faults	4	2	1	6	13
1st in	64/98	29/52	28/46	47/72	168/268
% 1st in	65%	56%	61%	65%	63%
1st pts	52/64	26/29	25/28	36/47	139/168
% 1st pts	81%	90%	89%	77%	83%
2nd pts	17/34	11/23	12/18	9/25	49/100
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	67%	36%	49%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	3	13
Converted	3/9	4/9	3/8	3/5	13/31
Converted %	33%	44%	38%	60%	42%
Conceded	5	2	0	8	15
Saved	2/5	2/2	0/0	7/8	11
Saved %	40%	100%	–	88%	57%
Times Broken	3	0	0	1	4

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