Anastasia Potapova and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on Grandstand. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.6
Anastasia Potapova -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Anastasia Potapova vs. Karolina Muchova

This will be the 4^th time that Anastasia Potapova and Karolina Muchova square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Muchova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Muchova won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 1^st round in Montreal back in 2023.

Anastasia Potapova

Ranked no. 38, Potapova got to the 3^rd round after defeating Leylah Annie Fernandez 2-6 6-4 7-5 and Varvara Lepchenko 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Lepchenko (6-3 6-4). During the match, Potapova scored 75 points vs Lepchenko’s 66. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Potapova scored just 1 ace and she committed only 3 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 51% of her first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Lepchenko 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anastasia has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Potapova has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (215-152). 14-10 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Potapova has an overall 97-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Anastasia’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Birmingham and Cleveland.

Anastasia has an aggregate 25-19 win-loss record in 2024, 14-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 52, Muchova reached the 3^rd round after beating Katie Volynets 6-3 7-5 and Naomi Osaka 6-3 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Osaka (6-3 7-6⁵). During the match Muchova scored 73 points vs Osaka’s 62. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Muchova managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Karolina Muchova was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (36/47) of her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Karolina broke Osaka 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Czech’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Palermo.

Muchova has an overall 9-4 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Potapova	Muchova
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	49	43
Pts	180-171	146-121
Total Points	351	267
Winners	75	60
%Winners	42%	41%

Both Potapova and Muchova played 2 matches. At the moment, Anastasia Potapova conceded 1 set while Karolina Muchova hasn’t lost a set so far. Potapova has played 1 set more than Muchova (5 vs 4). Therefore, Potapova played 6 games more than Muchova. Potapova scored 75 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova recorded 60 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Potapova	Muchova
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	2	4.5
1st in	109/187	82/124
%1st in	58%	66%
1st pts	75/109	60/82
%1st pts	69%	73%
2nd pts	33/78	23/42
%2nd pts	42%	55%

Potapova scored 4 aces (2 per match). Muchova blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Potapova won 69% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Potapova	Muchova
Won	9	8
Converted	9/24	8/14
% Converted	38%	57%
Conceded	26	9
Saved	19	5
% Saved	73%	56%
Times Broken	7	4

The Russian broke her opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Potapova dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Potapova
	R1 Annie	R2 Lepchenko	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 7-5	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	30	19	49
pts	105-105	75-66	180-171
Total points	210	141	351
Winners	46	29	75
%Winners	44%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	4
Double Faults	6	3	9
1st in	70/111	39/76	109/187
% 1st in	63%	51%	58%
1st pts	46/70	29/39	75/109
% 1st pts	66%	74%	69%
2nd pts	15/41	18/37	33/78
% 2nd pts	37%	49%	42%
Breaks
Won	6	3	9
Converted	6/14	3/10	9/24
Converted %	43%	30%	38%
Conceded	19	7	26
Saved	13/19	6/7	19
Saved %	68%	86%	77%
Times Broken	6	1	7

Muchova
	R1 Volynets	R2 Osaka	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	6-3 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	21	22	43
pts	73-59	73-62	146-121
Total points	132	135	267
Winners	24	36	60
%Winners	33%	49%	41%
SERVE
Aces	2	7	9
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	35/65	47/59	82/124
% 1st in	54%	80%	66%
1st pts	24/35	36/47	60/82
% 1st pts	69%	77%	73%
2nd pts	16/30	7/12	23/42
% 2nd pts	53%	58%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/7	3/7	8/14
Converted %	71%	43%	57%
Conceded	6	3	9
Saved	3/6	2/3	5
Saved %	50%	67%	59%
Times Broken	3	1	4

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