Alex De Minaur and Daniel Evans will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.25
Daniel Evans -> 3.96

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Daniel Evans

This will be the 5^th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniel Evans fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Evans (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Evans won 6-1 2-6 6-4 in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Group B, Manchester back in 2023.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10, Alex got to the 3^rd round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4 and Otto Virtanen 7-5 6-1 7-6(3).

In the 2^nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (7-5 6-1 7-6³). During the match, De Minaur scored 116 points vs Virtanen’s 86. Alex was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 72% (34/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Virtanen 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (356-199). 17-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed 169-85 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

The Australian has a compiled 38-12 win-loss record in 2024, 17-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Daniel Evans

Ranked no. 184, Evans got to the 3^rd round after defeating Karen Khachanov 6-7(6) 7-6(2) 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 and Mariano Navone 6-4 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Evans had a good straight sets win against Navone (6-4 6-3 6-3). During the match Evans scored 109 points vs Navone’s 81. Evans was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Evans struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Evans lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Evans put 55% of his first serves in, winning 79% (38/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Evans broke Navone 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Evans has an overall 11-20 win-loss record in 2024, 5-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Evans
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	7	8
Tot Games	73	87
Pts	263-216	310-272
Total Points	479	582
Winners	66	118
%Winners	25%	38%

Both De Minaur and Evans played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Evans dropped 2 sets. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Evans (7 vs 8). Therefore, De Minaur played 14 games less than Evans. De Minaur scored 66 winners (25% of the total points). On the other side, Evans fired 118 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Evans
Aces	14	17
Avg per match	7	8.5
1st in	96/225	156/295
%1st in	43%	53%
1st pts	66/96	118/156
%1st pts	69%	76%
2nd pts	82/129	66/139
%2nd pts	64%	47%

De Minaur scored 14 aces (7 per match). Evans struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). De Minaur won 69% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Evans
Won	11	15
Converted	11/28	15/34
% Converted	39%	44%
Conceded	14	31
Saved	9	20
% Saved	64%	65%
Times Broken	5	11

Alex broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Evans broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Giron	R2 Virtanen	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4	7-5 6-1 7-63
Tot Set	4	3	7
Tot Games	41	32	73
pts	147-130	116-86	263-216
Total points	277	202	479
Winners	38	28	66
%Winners	26%	24%	25%
SERVE
Aces	9	5	14
Double Faults	12	3	15
1st in	57/139	39/86	96/225
% 1st in	41%	45%	43%
1st pts	38/57	28/39	66/96
% 1st pts	67%	72%	69%
2nd pts	48/82	34/47	82/129
% 2nd pts	59%	72%	64%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/14	5/14	11/28
Converted %	43%	36%	39%
Conceded	13	1	14
Saved	9/13	0/1	9
Saved %	69%	0%	35%
Times Broken	4	1	5

Evans
	R1 Khachanov	R2 Navone	Total
Score	6-76 7-62 7-64 4-6 6-4	6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	5	3	8
Tot Games	59	28	87
pts	201-191	109-81	310-272
Total points	392	190	582
Winners	80	38	118
%Winners	40%	35%	38%
SERVE
Aces	14	3	17
Double Faults	12	4	16
1st in	108/208	48/87	156/295
% 1st in	52%	55%	53%
1st pts	80/108	38/48	118/156
% 1st pts	74%	79%	76%
2nd pts	47/100	19/39	66/139
% 2nd pts	47%	49%	47%
Breaks
Won	8	7	15
Converted	8/18	7/16	15/34
Converted %	44%	44%	44%
Conceded	23	8	31
Saved	15/23	5/8	20
Saved %	65%	63%	64%
Times Broken	8	3	11

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Tomas MachacMachac – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Max PurcellPurcell (7-5 6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Zizou Bergs
  Bergs (4-6 6-3 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-7⁴ 2-6 6-2 7-6⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-5 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 6-7³ 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-4 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6² 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-7⁸ 6-3 6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-2 2-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Juncheng ShangShang – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3 7-6²) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-3 4-6 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-7⁵ 0-6 6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 7-6¹ 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo HumbertHumbert (5-7 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 2-0 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction