Tommy Paul and Gabriel Diallo will play each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.18
Gabriel Diallo -> 4.9

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Gabriel Diallo

There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Gabriel Diallo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 14, Paul got to the 3^rd round after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Max Purcell 7-5 6-0 1-0 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Purcell, Tommy had a free pass after Purcell retired on a 7-5 6-0 1-0 . scoreline.

Paul has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (387-219). 13-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a compiled 188-109 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

The American has an aggregate 37-14 win-loss record in 2024, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 143, Gabriel reached the 3^rd round after defeating Sho Shimabukuro 4-6 7-5 6-3, Titouan Droguet 3-6 7-5 6-3, Valentin Royer 7-6(3) 6-4, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 3-6 6-3 7-5 and Arthur Fils 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Canadian defeated Fils (7-5 6-7³ 6-4 6-4). During the match Diallo scored 140 points vs Fils’s 125. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Diallo struck 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (57/74) of his 1st serve and 58% (32/55) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Diallo broke Fils 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gabriel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Gabriel has a composed 36-19 win-loss record in 2024, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Diallo
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	8	16
Tot Games	57	169
Pts	194-159	578-531
Total Points	353	1109
Winners	86	267
%Winners	44%	46%

Paul played 2 matches while Diallo competed in 5 matches. Diallo started his run from the qualifications while Paul had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul dropped 1 set, while Gabriel Diallo dropped 4 sets. Paul has played 8 set(s) less than Diallo (8 vs 16). Therefore, Paul played 112 games less than Diallo. Tommy scored 86 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Gabriel managed to score 267 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Diallo
Aces	13	53
Avg per match	6.5	10.6
1st in	116/185	363/569
%1st in	63%	64%
1st pts	86/116	267/363
%1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	39/69	98/206
%2nd pts	57%	48%

Paul managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Diallo fired 53 aces (10.6 per match). Paul won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Diallo
Won	11	22
Converted	11/24	22/64
% Converted	46%	34%
Conceded	13	44
Saved	11	30
% Saved	85%	68%
Times Broken	2	14

Tommy broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Tommy dropped his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 22 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
	R1 Sonego	R2 Purcell	Total
Score	6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2	7-5 6-0 1-0 ret.
Tot Set	4	3	7
Tot Games	38	19	57
pts	125-114	69-45	194-159
Total points	239	114	353
Winners	62	24	86
%Winners	50%	35%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	5	13
Double Faults	5	2	7
1st in	88/138	28/47	116/185
% 1st in	64%	60%	63%
1st pts	62/88	24/28	86/116
% 1st pts	70%	86%	74%
2nd pts	25/50	14/19	39/69
% 2nd pts	50%	74%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/10	5/14	11/24
Converted %	60%	36%	46%
Conceded	13	0	13
Saved	11/13	0/0	11
Saved %	85%	–	43%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Diallo
	Q1 Shimabukuro	Q2 Droguet	Q3 Royer	R1 Munar Clar	R2 Fils	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 6-3	3-6 7-5 6-3	7-63 6-4	6-4 3-6 6-3 7-5	7-5 6-73 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	4	4	16
Tot Games	31	30	23	40	45	169
pts	113-106	109-100	79-69	137-131	140-125	578-531
Total points	219	209	148	268	265	1109
Winners	60	49	39	62	57	267
%Winners	53%	45%	49%	45%	41%	46%
SERVE
Aces	11	4	6	20	12	53
Double Faults	5	8	2	7	5	27
1st in	83/130	71/99	51/71	84/140	74/129	363/569
% 1st in	64%	72%	72%	60%	57%	64%
1st pts	60/83	49/71	39/51	62/84	57/74	267/363
% 1st pts	72%	69%	76%	74%	77%	74%
2nd pts	24/47	12/28	10/20	20/56	32/55	98/206
% 2nd pts	51%	43%	50%	36%	58%	48%
Breaks
Won	3	5	2	7	5	22
Converted	3/9	5/13	2/12	7/20	5/10	22/64
Converted %	33%	38%	17%	35%	50%	34%
Conceded	14	14	1	12	3	44
Saved	12/14	10/14	0/1	7/12	1/3	30
Saved %	86%	71%	0%	58%	33%	124%
Times Broken	2	4	1	5	2	14

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6² 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Zizou BergsBergs (4-6 6-3 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Sebastian Korda
  Korda (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Max PurcellPurcell (7-5 6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-5 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 6-7³ 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-4 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-7⁴ 2-6 6-2 7-6⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-7⁸ 6-3 6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-3 4-6 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-2 2-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo HumbertHumbert (5-7 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Juncheng ShangShang – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3 7-6²) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-7⁵ 0-6 6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 7-6¹ 6-1) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 2-0 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction