Iga Swiatek and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.051
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 9.9
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-0 6-0 in the 2nd round in Rome back in 2023.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova – Rome 12-May-2023
Iga Swiatek
57 - 7win/loss
2
1
WWWWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the 3rd round after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 7-6(6) and Ena Shibahara 6-0 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Shibahara (6-0 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 60 points vs Shibahara’s 29. Swiatek was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek managed to score 4 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of her 1st serve and 80% (8/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Shibahara 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (342-74). 27-4 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an aggregate160-41 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3 and at the French Open where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.
Swiatek has an overall 57-7 win-loss record in 2024, 27-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
27 - 18win/loss
30
11
LWWLWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-19 | 20-11 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-17 | 6-8 | 15-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-20 | 12-11 | 10-3 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Taylah Preston 6-2 6-0 and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 5-7 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Cocciaretto, Pavlyuchenkova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-1 6-2). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 106 points vs Cocciaretto’s 89. Pavlyuchenkova was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Pavlyuchenkova struck 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (19/49) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia broke Cocciaretto 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anastasia has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Pavlyuchenkova’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Linz and Doha.
Pavlyuchenkova has an overall 27-18 win-loss record in 2024, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2011. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 41 |
| Pts | 136-97 | 162-119 |
| Total Points | 233 | 281 |
| Winners | 47 | 63 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Swiatek and Pavlyuchenkova played 2 matches. At the moment, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova surrendered 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t lost a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Pavlyuchenkova (4 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 5 games less than Pavlyuchenkova. Iga scored 47 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 63 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 62/101 | 86/161 |
| %1st in | 61% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 47/62 | 63/86 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 28/39 | 34/75 |
| %2nd pts | 72% | 45% |
Swiatek made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Pavlyuchenkova managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Swiatek won 76% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 12 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 12/17 |
| % Converted | 53% | 71% |
| Conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Saved | 2 | 14 |
| % Saved | 50% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Iga broke her opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Swiatek surrendered her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Pavlyuchenkova broke her opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. Anastasia conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R1 Rakhimova |
R2 Shibahara |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-66 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 13 | 36 | |
| pts | 76-68 | 60-29 | 136-97 | |
| Total points | 144 | 89 | 233 | |
| Winners | 27 | 20 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/67 | 24/34 | 62/101 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 71% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 20/24 | 47/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 8/10 | 28/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 80% | 72% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Pavlyuchenkova | ||||
| R1 Preston |
R2 Cocciaretto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 5-7 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 27 | 41 | |
| pts | 56-30 | 106-89 | 162-119 | |
| Total points | 86 | 195 | 281 | |
| Winners | 18 | 45 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 21/47 | 65/114 | 86/161 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 57% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 18/21 | 45/65 | 63/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 19/49 | 34/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 39% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 7/10 | 12/17 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 70% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 9/13 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 69% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
LWWLWWWLLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara ErraniErrani – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessika PonchetPonchet – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Yafan WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
