Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli will face off in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.161
Flavio Cobolli -> 5.25

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Flavio Cobolli

There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6

High
1

LWWLWWLWWL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	8-5	5-3	0-0	3-2	0-0	0-0
2024	46-21	28-9	11-5	1-5	6-2	0-0
2023	66-18	38-8	10-3	11-4	7-3	0-0
2022	45-19	26-8	3-2	8-6	8-3	0-0
2021	63-13	33-5	5-3	18-3	7-2	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 5, the Russian got to the 3^rd round after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1 and Fabian Marozsan 6-3 6-2 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (6-3 6-2 7-6⁵). During the match, Medvedev scored 105 points vs Marozsan’s 89. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev made 8 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 47% of his first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (27/50) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Marozsan 8 times after converting 57% of his break points (8/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (501-200). 20-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an aggregate 238-75 record in the last years on hard.

Daniil’s best result of the season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

The Russian has an aggregate 37-13 win-loss record in 2024, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open

Medvedev's Record

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
40

High
30

LLLLLLWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	2-6	2-4	0-0	0-2	0-0	0-0
2024	43-29	26-13	10-9	4-3	3-4	0-0
2023	56-36	10-6	43-23	3-6	0-1	0-0
2022	35-34	6-4	24-21	5-8	0-1	0-0
2021	46-30	5-4	39-21	2-5	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 31 (career-high), Cobolli reached the 3^rd round after beating James Duckworth 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Zizou Bergs 4-6 6-3 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Bergs, Cobolli recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5 6-3). During the match Cobolli scored 139 points vs Bergs’s 129. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Cobolli bagged 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 54% of his first serves in, winning 78% (57/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (30/62) on the 2nd serve. Flavio broke Bergs 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Flavio has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Cobolli’s best result of the current season was getting to the final Washington.

Flavio has an aggregate 38-24 win-loss record in 2024, 23-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.

U.S. Open

Cobolli's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Medvedev and Cobolli played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set, while Flavio Cobolli lost 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Cobolli (7 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 13 games less than Cobolli. Medvedev scored 83 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Flavio fired 105 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Medvedev fired 22 aces (11 per match). Cobolli managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Medvedev won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Medvedev broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Flavio broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Flavio conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 1Slam
• 21Main
• 1Chall
• 4Minor

• 0Slam
• 0Main
• 2Chall
• 1Minor

Daniil
Medvedev

2:0

Flavio
Cobolli

Rank

6

High

1

2Hard0

Rank

40

High

30

Win Loss

Medvedev

LWWLWWLWWL

Cobolli

LLLLLLWW

2025 2024 2023

8 - 5

2 - 6

5-3

Hard

2-4

3-2

I Hard

0-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-7⁴ 2-6 6-2 7-6⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 6-7³ 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Zizou BergsBergs (4-6 6-3 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6² 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-5 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Max PurcellPurcell (7-5 6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-4 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-7⁸ 6-3 6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-3 4-6 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-2 2-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 7-6¹ 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo HumbertHumbert (5-7 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Juncheng ShangShang – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3 7-6²) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-7⁵ 0-6 6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 2-0 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction

Medvedev

More Stats

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Cobolli