Jessica Pegula and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.173
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro -> 5
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jessica Pegula
32 - 11win/loss
6
3
WWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-11 | 22-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the American reached the 3rd round after beating Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Kenin (7-64 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 75 points vs Kenin’s 64. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula made 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 66% of her first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Kenin 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (330-176). 22-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a compiled 208-96 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Berlin where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.
The American has an overall 32-11 win-loss record in 2024, 22-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
47 - 19win/loss
74
74
WWLWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-19 | 15-7 | 21-9 | 9-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-27 | 4-4 | 27-18 | 3-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-27 | 27-8 | 40-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 45-20 | 7-5 | 38-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 5-3 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after defeating Petra Martic 6-3 6-0 and Katie Boulter 7-5 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Boulter (7-5 7-5). During the match Bouzas scored 77 points vs Boulter’s 74. Bouzas was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Bouzas struck 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bouzas put 56% of her first serves in, winning 64% (28/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Boulter 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W75+H Porto where she overcame Maja Chwalinska in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4 and the W50 Morelia where she beat Hailey Baptiste in the final 6-7(11) 6-1 7-6(1) and the Antalya where she overcame Irina-Camelia Begu in the final 6-2 4-6 6-2.
Jessica has an overall 47-19 win-loss record in 2024, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Bouzas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 39 |
| Pts | 142-121 | 137-114 |
| Total Points | 263 | 251 |
| Winners | 63 | 45 |
| %Winners | 44% | 33% |
Both Pegula and Bouzas played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Bouzas have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Pegula played 2 games more than Bouzas. Jessica scored 63 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 45 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Bouzas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 90/144 | 67/119 |
| %1st in | 63% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 63/90 | 45/67 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 26/54 | 26/52 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 50% |
Pegula recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Bouzas struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pegula won 70% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Bouzas won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Bouzas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 11/15 |
| % Converted | 54% | 73% |
| Conceded | 13 | 7 |
| Saved | 9 | 3 |
| % Saved | 69% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Pegula broke her opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. Jessica broke her opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R1 Rogers |
R2 Kenin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 75-64 | 142-121 | |
| Total points | 124 | 139 | 263 | |
| Winners | 33 | 30 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 46/70 | 90/144 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 30/46 | 63/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 13/24 | 26/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 54% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/7 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 57% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Bouzas | ||||
| R1 Martic |
R2 Boulter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 24 | 39 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 77-74 | 137-114 | |
| Total points | 100 | 151 | 251 | |
| Winners | 17 | 28 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 23/41 | 44/78 | 67/119 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 28/44 | 45/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 64% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 16/34 | 26/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 47% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 5/8 | 11/15 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 63% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWWWW
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