[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Aryna Sabalenka’s draw vs Alexandrova, Keys, Zheng, Gauff, Swiatek to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Aryna Sabalenka may need to defeat Ekaterina Alexandrova, Madison Keys, Qinwen Zheng, Cori Gauff, Iga Swiatek to conquer the event in the U.S. Open.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats info

Aryna Sabalenka is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Aryna has defeated Priscilla Hon 6-3 6-3 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-1 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Ekaterina Alexandrova.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw together withherpresumable opposition at the U.S. Open. The Belarussian has a unfavourable record (15-16) against the presumable opponents.

R1 – Priscilla Hon (203) – 6-3 6-3
R2 – Lucia Bronzetti (76) – 6-3 6-1
R3 – Ekaterina Alexandrova (31) – H2H 3-3
R4 – Madison Keys (14) – H2H 3-1
or Elise Mertens (35) – H2H 7-2
1/4 – Qinwen Zheng (7) – H2H 2-0
or Donna Vekic (24) – H2H 2-6
1/2 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-4
or Emma Navarro (12) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (1) – H2H 4-8
or Jasmine Paolini (5) – H2H 2-2
Sabalenka
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Ekaterina Alexandrova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 3-3

26 - 24win/loss in 2024

Rank
28
High
15
LWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-24 17-13 1-7 3-1 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-4 4-5 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 42-27 16-12 3-7 18-4 5-4 0-0
2018 29-24 7-10 8-7 11-3 3-4 0-0
2017 33-25 15-11 6-8 10-4 2-2 0-0

Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 22-20 record in 2024, 13-9 on hard. In the course of the previous 10 years, Ekaterina has a 103-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Ekaterina won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Alexandrova’s best result of the current year was getting to the final Linz.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Russian lost to Marketa Vondrousova in the 3rd round 6-2 6-1.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This would be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova square off. The head to head is 3-3 for Sabalenka and Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

24 - 12win/loss in 2024

Rank
21
High
7
LLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0
2017 17-10 15-5 1-4 0-0 1-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 22-9 record in 2024, 5-3 on hard. In connection to the last 16 years, Keys has a 227-134 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the competition in Strasbourg where she defeated Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.

Last year at the U.S. Open Madison lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal 0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5).

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys

This match would represent the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Aryna Sabalenka may square off with Elise Mertens. Their H2H is 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka.

1/4 – Qinwen Zheng’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Aryna Sabalenka

52 - 18win/loss in 2024

Rank
5
High
5
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2020 38-8 3-3 26-3 9-2 0-0 0-0
2019 14-11 14-8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 14-9 12-8 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Qinwen Zheng has a 35-13 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, Qinwen has a 103-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Zheng won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current year was winning the title in Palermo where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2, and in Paris where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-2 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Chinese capitulated to Aryna Sabalenka in the quarter 6-1 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng

This contest would be 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Aryna Sabalenka could compete against Donna Vekic. Their H2H record is 6-2 for Donna Vekic.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-3 for Cori Gauff

54 - 17win/loss in 2024

Rank
3
High
2
WWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-17 31-9 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 40-14 record in 2024, 21-7 on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, Gauff has a 120-55 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Cori won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the season was winning the title in Auckland where she overcame Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open the American won the competition after beating Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff clash against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Aryna Sabalenka could play Emma Navarro. Their H2H is 1-1.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 9win/loss in 2024

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0
2017 11-2 0-0 11-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 57-7 record in 2024, 27-4 on hard. In the course of the last 9 years, the Pole has a 160-41 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this year was winning the tournament in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0, in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2, in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0, in Madrid where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7), in Rome where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3, and at the French Open where she defeated Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole capitulated to Jelena Ostapenko in the 4th round 3-6 6-3 6-1.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Aryna Sabalenka could come up against Jasmine Paolini. Their H2H record is 2-2.