[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Mertens, Sabalenka, Zheng, Gauff, Swiatek to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to best Elise Mertens, Aryna Sabalenka, Qinwen Zheng, Cori Gauff, Iga Swiatek to conquer the tournament in the U.S. Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The American has defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-1 and Maya Joint 6-4 6-0 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Elise Mertens.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw together withherplausible opposition at the U.S. Open. Keys has a weak record (9-10) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Katerina Siniakova (36) – 6-4 6-1
R2 – Maya Joint (135) – 6-4 6-0
R3 – Elise Mertens (35) – H2H 3-1
R4 – Aryna Sabalenka (2) – H2H 1-3
or Ekaterina Alexandrova (31) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Qinwen Zheng (7) – H2H 1-0
or Donna Vekic (24) – H2H 2-1
1/2 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-2
or Emma Navarro (12) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Iga Swiatek (1) – H2H 1-4
or Jasmine Paolini (5) – H2H 1-1
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Elise Mertens’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Madison Keys

27 - 25win/loss in 2024

Rank
34
High
12
LWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 27-25 17-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0
2019 35-27 23-14 4-6 1-3 7-4 0-0
2018 46-21 25-13 16-2 1-2 4-4 0-0
2017 43-25 20-12 13-6 9-3 1-4 0-0

Elise Mertens has a 23-20 win-loss record in 2024, 13-10 on hard. Regarding the previous 13 years, the Belgian has a 258-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belgian won 5 of her last 10 matches.

The Belgian’s most significant achievement of this year was reaching the final Hobart.

Last year at the U.S. Open Mertens capitulated to Cori Gauff in the 3rd round 3-6 6-3 6-0.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elise Mertens

This would be the 5th time that Madison Keys and Elise Mertens play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

56 - 14win/loss in 2024

Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0
2017 36-25 20-11 2-4 6-6 7-3 1-1

Aryna Sabalenka has a 41-11 record in 2024, 25-6 on hard. During the previous 9 years, Sabalenka has a 214-91 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 7 matches winning streak.

Her best result of this year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Belarussian was overcome by Cori Gauff in the final 2-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 5th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Madison Keys may compete against Ekaterina Alexandrova. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

1/4 – Qinwen Zheng’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Madison Keys

52 - 18win/loss in 2024

Rank
5
High
5
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2020 38-8 3-3 26-3 9-2 0-0 0-0
2019 14-11 14-8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 14-9 12-8 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Qinwen Zheng has a 35-13 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, the Chinese has a 103-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Chinese won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was conquering the tournament in Palermo where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2, and in Paris where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-2 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open Zheng lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the quarter 6-1 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Qinwen Zheng

This match would represent the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Madison Keys could play Donna Vekic. Their head to head is 2-1 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

54 - 17win/loss in 2024

Rank
3
High
2
WWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-17 31-9 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 40-14 win-loss record in 2024, 21-7 on hard. In the previous 8 years, the American has a 120-55 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Gauff won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the tournament in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open Cori conquered the tournament after besting Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This match would represent the 6th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but Gauff has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Madison Keys may play Emma Navarro. Their head to head is 2-1 for Emma Navarro.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 9win/loss in 2024

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0
2017 11-2 0-0 11-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 57-7 record in 2024, 27-4 on hard. In the previous 9 years, Iga has a 160-41 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the competition in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0, in Doha where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2, in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0, in Madrid where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7), in Rome where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3, and at the French Open where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole lost to Jelena Ostapenko in the 4th round 3-6 6-3 6-1.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 6th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Madison Keys may square off with Jasmine Paolini. Their head to head record is 1-1.