Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.098
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 7.1

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 7^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Sabalenka and Alexandrova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 6-4 6-0 in the 4^th round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Wimbledon 10-July-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

41 - 11win/loss

Hard

25-6

I Hard

0-0

Clay

15-4

Grass

1-1

Rank
1

High
1

LLWWWWWWWL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	56-14	38-7	15-4	2-2	1-1	0-0
2023	55-14	35-9	14-3	0-0	6-2	0-0
2022	33-22	20-15	9-5	0-0	4-2	0-0
2021	45-18	24-11	13-3	1-1	7-3	0-0
2020	29-10	14-7	6-3	9-0	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 2, the Belarussian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Priscilla Hon 6-3 6-3 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Bronzetti (6-3 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 55 points vs Bronzetti’s 34. The Belarussian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was very effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of her 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Bronzetti 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (359-165). 25-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed214-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5.

Aryna has a composed 41-11 win-loss record in 2024, 25-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open

Sabalenka's Record

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

22 - 20win/loss

Hard

13-9

I Hard

3-1

Clay

1-7

Grass

5-3

Rank
28

High
15

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See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	26-24	17-13	1-7	3-1	5-3	0-0
2023	33-21	17-13	6-5	0-1	10-2	0-0
2022	35-18	12-10	13-5	4-2	6-1	0-0
2021	26-23	10-9	6-5	7-7	3-2	0-0
2020	20-12	9-4	4-5	7-3	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 31, Alexandrova got to the 3^rd round after defeating Viktoriya Tomova 6-7(4) 6-0 7-5 and Iva Jovic 4-6 6-4 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Jovic, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-5). During the match Alexandrova scored 112 points vs Jovic’s 106. Ekaterina was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Alexandrova fired 9 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 50% of her first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (21/53) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Jovic 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Linz.

Alexandrova has a composed 22-20 win-loss record in 2024, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See her history.

U.S. Open

Alexandrova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Sabalenka and Alexandrova played 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Alexandrova (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 29 games less than Alexandrova. Sabalenka scored 49 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina recorded 86 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Sabalenka bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Alexandrova managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Sabalenka won 74% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Sabalenka broke her opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 3Slam
• 17Main
• 4ITF
• 2Minor

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 6ITF
• 4Minor

Aryna
Sabalenka

4:3

Ekaterina
Alexandrova

Rank

1

High

1

2Hard1

1I.hard1

1Grass1

Rank

28

High

15

Win Loss

Sabalenka

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Alexandrova

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2024 2023 2022

56 - 14

26 - 24

38-7

Hard

17-13

2-2

I Hard

3-1

15-4

Clay

1-7

1-1

Grass

5-3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Sara ErraniErrani – Caroline DolehideDolehide (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Anna BondarBondar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Clara BurelBurel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Arantxa RusRus (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Yafan WangWang – Diane ParryParry (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
• Paula BadosaBadosa – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Erika AndreevaAndreeva (6-7³ 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Greetje MinnenMinnen (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Iva JovicJovic (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Harriet DartDart (7-6¹⁰ 6-1) – See score progression
• Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Brian BencicBencic (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrey ChepelevChepelev (7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Nino PortalesPortales – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Juan Pablo Grassi MazzuchiPablo Grassi Mazzuchi – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Johan NiklesNikles – Diego HidalgoHidalgo (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Vasile-Alexandru GhileaGhilea (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Simone RoncalliRoncalli (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Sara ErraniErrani – Caroline DolehideDolehide (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Anna BondarBondar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-0 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jessika PonchetPonchet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Renata ZarazuaZarazua (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sara ErraniErrani – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Yafan WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-3) – H2H and prediction

Sabalenka

More Stats

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Alexandrova