Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on Stadium 17. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.66
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.23
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Musetti won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in London back in June 2024.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima – London 20-June-2024
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-4 | 19-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Musetti reached the 3rd round after defeating Reilly Opelka 7-6(3) 1-6 6-1 7-5 and Miomir Kecmanovic 3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo had a tough win against Kecmanovic to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5).During the match, Musetti scored less points (2) than Kecmanovic. In fact, the world no. 18 won 154 points vs Kecmanovic’s. That means that Musetti was more focused during the important points. Musetti was exceptionally aggressive to blast 67 winners.
Talking about the service games, Musetti bagged 12 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 7 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 65% of his first serves in, winning 67% (67/100) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (25/53) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Kecmanovic 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has dropped 3 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (214-154). 9-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an overall46-42 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London and Umag.
Musetti has an aggregate 40-23 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-18 | 10-7 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 50, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Holger Rune 6-2 6-1 6-4 and Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Cazaux (6-4 6-4 6-2). During the match Nakashima scored 90 points vs Cazaux’s 71. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima scored 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (39/52) of his 1st serve and 73% (19/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nakashima broke Cazaux 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Brandon has an overall 53-24 win-loss record in 2024, 20-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 53 |
| Pts | 288-271 | 186-132 |
| Total Points | 559 | 318 |
| Winners | 110 | 80 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Musetti and Nakashima played 2 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti lost 3 sets while Brandon Nakashima hasn’t lost a set so far. Musetti has played 3 sets more than Nakashima (9 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 35 games more than Nakashima. Lorenzo scored 110 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 80 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 157/267 | 101/151 |
| %1st in | 59% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 110/157 | 80/101 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 61/110 | 34/50 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 68% |
Musetti struck 19 aces (9.5 per match). Nakashima scored 23 aces (11.5 per match). Musetti won 70% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/24 | 9/20 |
| % Converted | 42% | 45% |
| Conceded | 24 | 8 |
| Saved | 14 | 8 |
| % Saved | 58% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 0 |
Musetti broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Lorenzo surrendered his serve 10 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Nakashima broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| Musetti | ||||
| R1 Opelka |
R2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 1-6 6-1 7-5 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 49 | 88 | |
| pts | 134-115 | 154-156 | 288-271 | |
| Total points | 249 | 310 | 559 | |
| Winners | 43 | 67 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 12 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 57/114 | 100/153 | 157/267 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 43/57 | 67/100 | 110/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 36/57 | 25/53 | 61/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 47% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 6/13 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 46% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 18 | 24 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 11/18 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 61% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Rune |
R2 Cazaux |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 28 | 53 | |
| pts | 96-61 | 90-71 | 186-132 | |
| Total points | 157 | 161 | 318 | |
| Winners | 41 | 39 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 12 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 49/73 | 52/78 | 101/151 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 41/49 | 39/52 | 80/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 19/26 | 34/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 73% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/7 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 57% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWWW
LWWLWWLLWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-62 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-75 0-6 6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo HumbertHumbert (5-7 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-3 4-6 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Juncheng ShangShang – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-2 2-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 7-61 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6(2) 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Max PurcellPurcell – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Daniel EvansEvans (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
