Ignacio Buse and Valerio Aboian will face off in the quarter of the Como Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ignacio Buse who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ignacio Buse is the pick to win this match.
Ignacio Buse -> 1.3
Valerio Aboian -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Ignacio Buse vs. Valerio Aboian
This will be the 2nd time that Ignacio Buse and Valerio Aboian fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Buse (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Buse won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in M25 Mendoza back in 2023.
Ignacio Buse
37 - 20win/loss
270
260
WWLWLWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-20 | 3-3 | 34-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-19 | 7-3 | 28-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-8 | 4-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 270, Buse reached the quarter after defeating Marco Cecchinato 6-4 6-1 and Filip Misolic 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Ignacio had a good straight sets win against Misolic (6-4 6-2). During the match, Buse scored 69 points vs Misolic’s 51. The Peruvian was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Buse struck 5 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Ignacio Buse was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 68% (19/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Peruvian broke Misolic 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ignacio hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Buse has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (88-55). 34-17 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Buse has an aggregate74-47 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Buse’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Tarragona and M25 Vic.
The Peruvian has a composed 37-20 win-loss record in 2024, 34-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Como Challenger
Ignacio has never competed in this tournament before.
Valerio Aboian
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-25 | 0-0 | 30-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 415, Aboian got to the quarter after defeating Jelle Sels w/o, Alexey Vatutin 7-5 6-2, Federico Arnaboldi 6-4 7-5 and Andrew Paulson 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Valerio had a good straight sets win against Paulson (6-2 6-1). During the match Aboian scored 60 points vs Paulson’s 39. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, Aboian blasted 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Valerio Aboian was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (19/26) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Paulson 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Aboian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger and M25 Sao Paulo.
Aboian has an aggregate 30-25 win-loss record in 2024, 30-25 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Buse | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 57 |
| Pts | 141-99 | 217-160 |
| Total Points | 240 | 377 |
| Winners | 40 | 77 |
| %Winners | 28% | 35% |
Buse played 2 matches while Aboian competed in 3 matches. Aboian started his run from the qualifications while Buse had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Buse has played 2 set(s) less than Aboian (4 vs 6). Therefore, Buse played 22 games less than Aboian. Buse scored 40 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Valerio fired 77 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Buse | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 50/95 | 108/181 |
| %1st in | 53% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 77/108 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 32/45 | 47/73 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 64% |
Buse made 8 aces (4 per match). Aboian bagged 11 aces (3.7 per match). Buse won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Aboian won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Buse | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 12 |
| Converted | 7/22 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 32% | 48% |
| Conceded | 3 | 20 |
| Saved | 3 | 17 |
| % Saved | 100% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Buse broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Peruvian very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Valerio broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Valerio conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Buse | ||||
| R1 Cecchinato |
R2 Misolic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 72-48 | 69-51 | 141-99 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | 240 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 29% | 28% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 24/41 | 26/54 | 50/95 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 48% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/26 | 40/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 19/28 | 32/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 68% | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/10 | 7/22 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 30% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aboian | ||||||
| Q1 Sels |
Q3 Vatutin |
R1 Arnaboldi |
R2 Paulson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | w/o | 7-5 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | – | 20 | 22 | 15 | 57 | |
| pts | – | 81-59 | 76-62 | 60-39 | 217-160 | |
| Total points | – | 140 | 138 | 99 | 377 | |
| Winners | – | 28 | 30 | 19 | 77 | |
| %Winners | – | 35% | 39% | 32% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | – | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | – | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | – | 37/67 | 45/65 | 26/49 | 108/181 | |
| % 1st in | – | 55% | 69% | 53% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | – | 28/37 | 30/45 | 19/26 | 77/108 | |
| % 1st pts | – | 76% | 67% | 73% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | – | 18/30 | 14/20 | 15/23 | 47/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | – | 60% | 70% | 65% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | – | 4/9 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | – | 44% | 50% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | – | 8 | 8 | 4 | 20 | |
| Saved | – | 7/8 | 6/8 | 4/4 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 88% | 75% | 100% | 132% | |
| Times Broken | – | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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