Anastasia Potapova and Varvara Lepchenko will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anastasia Potapova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anastasia Potapova is the pick to win this match.
Anastasia Potapova -> 1.194
Varvara Lepchenko -> 4.65
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Prediction and head to head Anastasia Potapova vs. Varvara Lepchenko
There is no head to head record between Anastasia Potapova and Varvara Lepchenko since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Anastasia Potapova
24 - 19win/loss
38
21
WLWWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, Potapova reached the 2nd round after beating Leylah Annie Fernandez 2-6 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round against Annie Fernandez, Anastasia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5). During the match, Potapova and Annie Fernandez scored the same amount of points (105). However, the world no. 38 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Potapova made 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 66% (46/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (15/41) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia broke Annie Fernandez 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Potapova has good record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (214-152). 13-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Potapova has a composed 96-82 record in the last years on hard.
Anastasia’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Birmingham and Cleveland.
Potapova has a composed 24-19 win-loss record in 2024, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Varvara Lepchenko
36 - 24win/loss
199
19
WWWWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-24 | 11-7 | 24-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-12 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 10-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 199, Varvara got to the 2nd round after defeating Tamara Zidansek 6-2 6-3, Valerie Glozman 4-6 6-4 6-3, Despina Papamichail 6-3 6-3 and Brenda Fruhvirtova 2-1 ret..
In the 1st round against Fruhvirtova, Lepchenko had a free pass after Fruhvirtova retired on a 2-1 . scoreline.
Varvara’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the W75 Brescia and the W35 Rome.
Lepchenko has an overall 36-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Potapova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 67 |
| Pts | 105-105 | 240-196 |
| Total Points | 210 | 436 |
| Winners | 46 | 94 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Potapova played 1 match while Lepchenko competed in 4 matches. Lepchenko started her run from the qualifications while Potapova had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Anastasia Potapova dropped 1 set, while Varvara Lepchenko conceded 1 set. Potapova has played 6 set(s) less than Lepchenko (3 vs 9). Therefore, Potapova played 37 games less than Lepchenko. Potapova scored 46 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Lepchenko made 94 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Potapova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 70/111 | 147/209 |
| %1st in | 63% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 46/70 | 94/147 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 15/41 | 33/62 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 53% |
Potapova made 3 aces . Lepchenko managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Potapova won 66% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Potapova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 17 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 17/40 |
| % Converted | 43% | 43% |
| Conceded | 19 | 21 |
| Saved | 13 | 13 |
| % Saved | 68% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Potapova broke her opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Potapova surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Lepchenko broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Potapova | |||
| R1 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 105-105 | 105-105 | |
| Total points | 210 | 210 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 70/111 | 70/111 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/70 | 46/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/41 | 15/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 13/19 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 68% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Lepchenko | ||||||
| Q1 Zidansek |
Q2 Glozman |
Q3 Papamichail |
R1 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 2-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 67 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 89-79 | 70-57 | 14-10 | 240-196 | |
| Total points | 117 | 168 | 127 | 24 | 436 | |
| Winners | 29 | 36 | 27 | 2 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 39% | 14% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 46/63 | 60/82 | 39/60 | 2/4 | 147/209 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | 65% | 50% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 36/60 | 27/39 | 2/2 | 94/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 60% | 69% | 100% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 10/22 | 11/21 | 2/2 | 33/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 45% | 52% | 100% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/13 | 4/11 | 1/6 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 54% | 36% | 17% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 2/8 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 25% | 83% | – | 194% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLWLLL
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