Anastasia Potapova and Varvara Lepchenko will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anastasia Potapova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anastasia Potapova is the pick to win this match.
Anastasia Potapova -> 1.194
Varvara Lepchenko -> 4.65
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Anastasia Potapova vs. Varvara Lepchenko
There is no head to head record between Anastasia Potapova and Varvara Lepchenko since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Anastasia Potapova
24 - 19win/loss
35
21
LWLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-22 | 15-13 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, Potapova reached the 2nd round after beating Leylah Annie Fernandez 2-6 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round against Annie Fernandez, Anastasia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5). During the match, Potapova and Annie Fernandez scored the same amount of points (105). However, the world no. 38 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Potapova made 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 66% (46/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (15/41) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia broke Annie Fernandez 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Potapova has good record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (214-152). 13-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Potapova has a composed 96-82 record in the last years on hard.
Anastasia’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Birmingham and Cleveland.
Potapova has a composed 24-19 win-loss record in 2024, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Varvara Lepchenko
36 - 24win/loss
143
19
LWWLWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-33 | 22-15 | 24-15 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-12 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 10-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 199, Varvara got to the 2nd round after defeating Tamara Zidansek 6-2 6-3, Valerie Glozman 4-6 6-4 6-3, Despina Papamichail 6-3 6-3 and Brenda Fruhvirtova 2-1 ret..
In the 1st round against Fruhvirtova, Lepchenko had a free pass after Fruhvirtova retired on a 2-1 . scoreline.
Varvara’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the W75 Brescia and the W35 Rome.
Lepchenko has an overall 36-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Potapova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 67 |
| Pts | 105-105 | 240-196 |
| Total Points | 210 | 436 |
| Winners | 46 | 94 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Potapova played 1 match while Lepchenko competed in 4 matches. Lepchenko started her run from the qualifications while Potapova had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Anastasia Potapova dropped 1 set, while Varvara Lepchenko conceded 1 set. Potapova has played 6 set(s) less than Lepchenko (3 vs 9). Therefore, Potapova played 37 games less than Lepchenko. Potapova scored 46 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Lepchenko made 94 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Potapova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 70/111 | 147/209 |
| %1st in | 63% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 46/70 | 94/147 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 15/41 | 33/62 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 53% |
Potapova made 3 aces . Lepchenko managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Potapova won 66% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Potapova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 17 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 17/40 |
| % Converted | 43% | 43% |
| Conceded | 19 | 21 |
| Saved | 13 | 13 |
| % Saved | 68% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Potapova broke her opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Potapova surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Lepchenko broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Potapova | |||
| R1 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 105-105 | 105-105 | |
| Total points | 210 | 210 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 70/111 | 70/111 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/70 | 46/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/41 | 15/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 13/19 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 68% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Lepchenko | ||||||
| Q1 Zidansek |
Q2 Glozman |
Q3 Papamichail |
R1 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 2-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 67 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 89-79 | 70-57 | 14-10 | 240-196 | |
| Total points | 117 | 168 | 127 | 24 | 436 | |
| Winners | 29 | 36 | 27 | 2 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 39% | 14% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 46/63 | 60/82 | 39/60 | 2/4 | 147/209 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | 65% | 50% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 36/60 | 27/39 | 2/2 | 94/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 60% | 69% | 100% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 10/22 | 11/21 | 2/2 | 33/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 45% | 52% | 100% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/13 | 4/11 | 1/6 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 54% | 36% | 17% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 2/8 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 25% | 83% | – | 194% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLWWW
LWWLWLWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Madison KeysKeys – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elise MertensMertens – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Vasile-Alexandru GhileaGhilea (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Simone RoncalliRoncalli (6-3 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Brian BencicBencic (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrey ChepelevChepelev (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino PortalesPortales – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo Grassi MazzuchiPablo Grassi Mazzuchi – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Johan NiklesNikles – Diego HidalgoHidalgo (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Sara ErraniErrani (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jessika PonchetPonchet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Renata ZarazuaZarazua (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Clara BurelBurel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diane ParryParry – Yafan WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Arantxa RusRus (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Greetje MinnenMinnen (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
