Elena Rybakina and Jessika Ponchet will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Stadium 17. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.081
Jessika Ponchet -> 7.9

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jessika Ponchet

There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Jessika Ponchet since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

41 - 9win/loss

Hard
23-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-2
Grass
6-2
Rank
4
High
3
WLLWWWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 41-9 23-5 12-2 0-0 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the 2nd round after beating Destanee Aiava 6-1 7-6(1).

In the 1st round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Aiava (6-1 7-61). During the match, Rybakina scored 76 points vs Aiava’s 63. Rybakina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina fired 11 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 50% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Aiava 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Rybakina has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (330-141). 23-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an overall 150-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 41-9 win-loss record in 2024, 23-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Rybakina's Record

Jessika Ponchet

Jessika Ponchet

29 - 21win/loss

Hard
11-8
I Hard
6-3
Clay
6-6
Grass
6-4
Rank
143
High
119
WWWWLLLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-21 11-8 6-6 6-3 6-4 0-0
2023 42-26 10-9 7-4 25-10 0-3 0-0
2022 35-26 13-8 8-3 11-12 3-3 0-0
2021 30-19 19-9 4-3 6-5 0-1 1-1
2020 10-12 2-4 0-2 8-6 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 143, Jessika reached the 2nd round after defeating Jana Fett 6-2 6-1, Lucija Ciric Bagaric 6-1 7-6(2), Elizabeth Mandlik 7-5 7-6(5) and Saisai Zheng 6-4 6-1.

In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-4 6-1). During the match Ponchet scored 58 points vs Zheng’s 39. Jessika was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Ponchet bagged 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessika Ponchet lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ponchet put 47% of her first serves in, winning 80% (20/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Zheng 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Ponchet’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Boutheon and the W100 Ilkley.

The French player has a compiled 29-21 win-loss record in 2024, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 and 2023. See her history.

U.S. Open
Ponchet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

E.Rybakina
J.Ponchet
1h:22
1h:22
Time on court​
!
5h:23
5h:23
1h:22
1h:22
Last match​
1h:05
1h:05
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
20
20
Games Played​
77
77
2
2
Set played​​
8
8
76
76
Total points​
285
285
76
76
Avg point​
71.3
71.3
30
30
Winners
104
104
30
30
Avg Winners​
26
26
39%
39%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
19
19
!
11
11
Avg Aces
4.8
4.8
7
7
Double Faults
12
12
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
3
3
30/38
30/38
1st won total​
104/137
104/137
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
18/38
18/38
2nd won total​
54/105
54/105
47%
47%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
3/6
3/6
BP won
17/39
17/39
3/6
3/6
Avg BP won
4.3/9.8
4.3/9.8
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
5
5
Conceded
14
14
5
5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
1
1
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
4
4
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Ponchet
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 2 8
Tot Games 20 77
Pts 76-63 285-222
Total Points 139 507
Winners 30 104
%Winners 39% 36%

Rybakina played 1 match while Ponchet competed in 4 matches. Ponchet started her run from the qualifications while Rybakina had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Rybakina has played 6 set(s) less than Ponchet (2 vs 8). Therefore, Rybakina played 57 games less than Ponchet. Elena scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 104 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Ponchet
Aces 11 19
Avg per match 11 4.8
1st in 38/76 137/242
%1st in 50% 57%
1st pts 30/38 104/137
%1st pts 79% 76%
2nd pts 18/38 54/105
%2nd pts 47% 51%

Rybakina scored 11 aces . Ponchet made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Rybakina won 79% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Ponchet won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Ponchet
Won 3 17
Converted 3/6 17/39
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 5 14
Saved 4 7
% Saved 80% 50%
Times Broken 1 7

The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R1
Aiava		 Total
Score 6-1 7-61
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 76-63 76-63
Total points 139 139
Winners 30 30
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 38/76 38/76
% 1st in 50% 50%
1st pts 30/38 30/38
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 18/38 18/38
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Ponchet
Q1
Fett		 Q2
Ciric		 Q3
Mandlik		 R1
Zheng		 Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-1 7-62 7-5 7-65 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 15 20 25 17 77
pts 57-31 91-77 79-75 58-39 285-222
Total points 88 168 154 97 507
Winners 20 31 33 20 104
%Winners 35% 34% 42% 34% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 6 7 2 19
Double Faults 1 2 5 4 12
1st in 24/42 41/72 47/75 25/53 137/242
% 1st in 57% 57% 63% 47% 57%
1st pts 20/24 31/41 33/47 20/25 104/137
% 1st pts 83% 76% 70% 80% 76%
2nd pts 14/18 16/31 10/28 14/28 54/105
% 2nd pts 78% 52% 36% 50% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 3 5 5 17
Converted 4/13 3/10 5/10 5/6 17/39
Converted % 31% 30% 50% 83% 44%
Conceded 1 4 5 4 14
Saved 1/1 3/4 1/5 2/4 7
Saved % 100% 75% 20% 50% 245%
Times Broken 0 1 4 2 7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rybakina
More Stats
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Ponchet

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