Elena Rybakina and Jessika Ponchet will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Stadium 17. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.081
Jessika Ponchet -> 7.9
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jessika Ponchet
There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Jessika Ponchet since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Elena Rybakina
41 - 9win/loss
6
3
WWLLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the 2nd round after beating Destanee Aiava 6-1 7-6(1).
In the 1st round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Aiava (6-1 7-61). During the match, Rybakina scored 76 points vs Aiava’s 63. Rybakina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina fired 11 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 50% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Aiava 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Rybakina has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (330-141). 23-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an overall 150-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 41-9 win-loss record in 2024, 23-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jessika Ponchet
29 - 21win/loss
133
104
LLWLWWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-27 | 15-13 | 6-6 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 10-9 | 7-4 | 25-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-26 | 13-8 | 8-3 | 11-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-19 | 19-9 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, Jessika reached the 2nd round after defeating Jana Fett 6-2 6-1, Lucija Ciric Bagaric 6-1 7-6(2), Elizabeth Mandlik 7-5 7-6(5) and Saisai Zheng 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-4 6-1). During the match Ponchet scored 58 points vs Zheng’s 39. Jessika was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Ponchet bagged 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessika Ponchet lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ponchet put 47% of her first serves in, winning 80% (20/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Zheng 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Ponchet’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Boutheon and the W100 Ilkley.
The French player has a compiled 29-21 win-loss record in 2024, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 77 |
| Pts | 76-63 | 285-222 |
| Total Points | 139 | 507 |
| Winners | 30 | 104 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Ponchet competed in 4 matches. Ponchet started her run from the qualifications while Rybakina had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Rybakina has played 6 set(s) less than Ponchet (2 vs 8). Therefore, Rybakina played 57 games less than Ponchet. Elena scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 104 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 38/76 | 137/242 |
| %1st in | 50% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 104/137 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 54/105 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 51% |
Rybakina scored 11 aces . Ponchet made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Rybakina won 79% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Ponchet won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 17 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 17/39 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 80% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Aiava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 76-63 | 76-63 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/76 | 38/76 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 30/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 18/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ponchet | ||||||
| Q1 Fett |
Q2 Ciric |
Q3 Mandlik |
R1 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 7-62 | 7-5 7-65 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 25 | 17 | 77 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 91-77 | 79-75 | 58-39 | 285-222 | |
| Total points | 88 | 168 | 154 | 97 | 507 | |
| Winners | 20 | 31 | 33 | 20 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 42% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 41/72 | 47/75 | 25/53 | 137/242 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 63% | 47% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 31/41 | 33/47 | 20/25 | 104/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 76% | 70% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 16/31 | 10/28 | 14/28 | 54/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 52% | 36% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/10 | 5/10 | 5/6 | 17/39 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 30% | 50% | 83% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/4 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 20% | 50% | 245% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
LLWLWWLLWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Madison KeysKeys – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elise MertensMertens – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Vasile-Alexandru GhileaGhilea (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Simone RoncalliRoncalli (6-3 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Brian BencicBencic (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrey ChepelevChepelev (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino PortalesPortales – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo Grassi MazzuchiPablo Grassi Mazzuchi – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Johan NiklesNikles – Diego HidalgoHidalgo (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Sara ErraniErrani (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jessika PonchetPonchet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Renata ZarazuaZarazua (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Clara BurelBurel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diane ParryParry – Yafan WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Arantxa RusRus (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Greetje MinnenMinnen (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
