Matteo Arnaldi and Roman Safiullin will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 11. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.69
Roman Safiullin -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Roman Safiullin
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Roman Safiullin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Safiullin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Safiullin won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the quarter in Brisbane back in January 2024.
Highlights Roman Safiullin vs Matteo Arnaldi – Brisbane 05-January-2024
Matteo Arnaldi
26 - 21win/loss
38
30
LLLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Zachary Svajda 6-3 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Svajda (6-3 6-2 6-1). During the match, Arnaldi scored 93 points vs Svajda’s 66. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi recorded 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 55% of his first serves in, winning 84% (41/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (16/40) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Svajda 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (213-129). 15-10 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an overall72-38 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Montreal.
Arnaldi has a compiled 26-21 win-loss record in 2024, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Roman Safiullin
19 - 21win/loss
60
36
LWWWWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-28 | 18-14 | 5-8 | 6-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-12 | 6-2 | 4-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 57, Safiullin got to the 2nd round after beating Matthew Forbes 6-4 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Forbes (6-4 7-62 6-2). During the match Safiullin scored 121 points vs Forbes’s 94. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Safiullin fired 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Roman Safiullin was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (47/61) of his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Forbes 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cary Challenger where he overcame Mattia Bellucci in the final 1-6 7-5 7-5.
Safiullin has a composed 19-21 win-loss record in 2024, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 31 |
| Pts | 93-66 | 121-94 |
| Total Points | 159 | 215 |
| Winners | 41 | 47 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Both Arnaldi and Safiullin played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Safiullin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Arnaldi played 7 games less than Safiullin. Matteo scored 41 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 47 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 7 |
| 1st in | 49/89 | 61/103 |
| %1st in | 55% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 41/49 | 47/61 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 22/42 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 52% |
Arnaldi made 12 aces . Safiullin scored 7 aces . Arnaldi won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Safiullin won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/12 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 58% | 36% |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 89% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Arnaldi broke his opponent 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Roman broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Roman conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Svajda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 93-66 | 93-66 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/89 | 49/89 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 41/49 | 41/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 16/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Safiullin | |||
| R1 Forbes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 121-94 | 121-94 | |
| Total points | 215 | 215 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 61/103 | 61/103 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 47/61 | 47/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLWWL
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