Alex De Minaur and Otto Virtanen will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Grandstand. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.21
Otto Virtanen -> 4.45

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Otto Virtanen

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Otto Virtanen since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

37 - 12win/loss

Hard
16-5
I Hard
4-1
Clay
10-5
Grass
7-1
Rank
10
High
6
WWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-12 16-5 10-5 4-1 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 10, De Minaur got to the 2nd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 147 points vs Giron’s 130. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur struck 9 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 41% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (48/82) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Giron 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (355-199). 16-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an overall 168-85 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

The Australian has a compiled 37-12 win-loss record in 2024, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
De Minaur's Record

Otto Virtanen

Otto Virtanen

35 - 19win/loss

Hard
9-8
I Hard
16-1
Clay
5-7
Grass
5-3
Rank
125
High
109
WWWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-19 9-8 5-7 16-1 5-3 0-0
2023 33-31 4-6 4-10 22-11 3-4 0-0
2022 46-31 4-1 7-12 25-13 8-3 2-2
2021 40-21 2-2 16-11 19-6 0-0 3-2
2020 24-9 2-2 1-2 21-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 125, Otto reached the 2nd round after defeating Liam Broady 7-5 7-6(7), Paul Jubb 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3, Lucas Pouille 7-6(2) 1-6 6-3 and Quentin Halys 6-3 6-3 6-7(4) 6-2.

In the 1st round, Otto had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-3 6-3 6-74 6-2). During the match Virtanen scored 138 points vs Halys’s 108. The Finn was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about serving, Virtanen managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Otto Virtanen was quite effective on serve to win 86% (49/57) of his 1st serve and 66% (31/47) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Virtanen broke Halys 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he overcame Leandro Riedi in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Lugano Challenger where he beat Daniel Masur in the final 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3).

The Finn has an aggregate 35-19 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Virtanen's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.De Minaur
O.Virtanen
3h:30
3h:30
Time on court​
!
9h:13
9h:13
!
3h:30
3h:30
Last match​
!
2h:43
2h:43
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
41
41
Games Played​
124
124
4
4
Set played​​
12
12
147
147
Total points​
440
440
147
147
Avg point​
110
110
38
38
Winners
169
169
38
38
Avg Winners​
42.3
42.3
26%
26%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
38
38
9
9
Avg Aces
9.5
9.5
12
12
Double Faults
20
20
!
12
12
Avg Double Faults
5
5
38/57
38/57
1st won total​
169/214
169/214
67%
67%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
48/82
48/82
2nd won total​
81/154
81/154
59%
59%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
6/14
6/14
BP won
15/54
15/54
6/14
6/14
Avg BP won
3.8/13.5
3.8/13.5
43%
43%
Won
!
28%
28%
13
13
Conceded
21
21
13
13
Avg Conceded
5.3
5.3
4
4
Broken
8
8
4
4
Avg Broken
2
2
9
9
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Virtanen
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 4 12
Tot Games 41 124
Pts 147-130 440-386
Total Points 277 826
Winners 38 169
%Winners 26% 38%

De Minaur played 1 match while Virtanen competed in 4 matches. Virtanen started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur conceded 1 set, while Otto Virtanen surrendered 3 sets. De Minaur has played 8 set(s) less than Virtanen (4 vs 12). Therefore, De Minaur played 83 games less than Virtanen. The Australian scored 38 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, Virtanen scored 169 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Virtanen
Aces 9 38
Avg per match 9 9.5
1st in 57/139 214/368
%1st in 41% 58%
1st pts 38/57 169/214
%1st pts 67% 79%
2nd pts 48/82 81/154
%2nd pts 59% 53%

De Minaur managed to score 9 aces . Virtanen bagged 38 aces (9.5 per match). De Minaur won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Virtanen
Won 6 15
Converted 6/14 15/54
% Converted 43% 28%
Conceded 13 21
Saved 9 13
% Saved 69% 62%
Times Broken 4 8

The Australian broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. De Minaur dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The Finn broke his opponents 15 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Finn conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R1
Giron
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 41 41
pts 147-130 147-130
Total points 277 277
Winners 38 38
%Winners 26% 26%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 12 12
1st in 57/139 57/139
% 1st in 41% 41%
1st pts 38/57 38/57
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 48/82 48/82
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/14 6/14
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 9/13 9
Saved % 69% 69%
Times Broken 4 4
Virtanen
Q1
Broady
Q2
Jubb
Q3
Pouille
R1
Halys
Total
Score 7-5 7-67 6-3 6-73 6-3 7-62 1-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-74 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 3 4 12
Tot Games 25 31 29 39 124
pts 99-91 111-103 92-84 138-108 440-386
Total points 190 214 176 246 826
Winners 38 45 37 49 169
%Winners 38% 41% 40% 36% 38%
SERVE
Aces 9 14 5 10 38
Double Faults 7 2 7 4 20
1st in 47/81 65/106 45/77 57/104 214/368
% 1st in 58% 61% 58% 55% 58%
1st pts 38/47 45/65 37/45 49/57 169/214
% 1st pts 81% 69% 82% 86% 79%
2nd pts 11/34 21/41 18/32 31/47 81/154
% 2nd pts 32% 51% 56% 66% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 4 2 5 15
Converted 4/13 4/13 2/12 5/16 15/54
Converted % 31% 31% 17% 31% 28%
Conceded 9 6 4 2 21
Saved 6/9 4/6 1/4 2/2 13
Saved % 67% 67% 25% 100% 259%
Times Broken 3 2 3 0 8

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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