Alex De Minaur and Otto Virtanen will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Grandstand. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.21
Otto Virtanen -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Otto Virtanen
There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Otto Virtanen since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alex De Minaur
37 - 12win/loss
9
6
LLLLLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, De Minaur got to the 2nd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 147 points vs Giron’s 130. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur struck 9 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 41% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (48/82) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Giron 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (355-199). 16-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an overall 168-85 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.
The Australian has a compiled 37-12 win-loss record in 2024, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Otto Virtanen
35 - 19win/loss
94
91
LWWLWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-28 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 24-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-31 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 22-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 125, Otto reached the 2nd round after defeating Liam Broady 7-5 7-6(7), Paul Jubb 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3, Lucas Pouille 7-6(2) 1-6 6-3 and Quentin Halys 6-3 6-3 6-7(4) 6-2.
In the 1st round, Otto had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-3 6-3 6-74 6-2). During the match Virtanen scored 138 points vs Halys’s 108. The Finn was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Virtanen managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Otto Virtanen was quite effective on serve to win 86% (49/57) of his 1st serve and 66% (31/47) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Virtanen broke Halys 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he overcame Leandro Riedi in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Lugano Challenger where he beat Daniel Masur in the final 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3).
The Finn has an aggregate 35-19 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 124 |
| Pts | 147-130 | 440-386 |
| Total Points | 277 | 826 |
| Winners | 38 | 169 |
| %Winners | 26% | 38% |
De Minaur played 1 match while Virtanen competed in 4 matches. Virtanen started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur conceded 1 set, while Otto Virtanen surrendered 3 sets. De Minaur has played 8 set(s) less than Virtanen (4 vs 12). Therefore, De Minaur played 83 games less than Virtanen. The Australian scored 38 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, Virtanen scored 169 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 57/139 | 214/368 |
| %1st in | 41% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 38/57 | 169/214 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 48/82 | 81/154 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 53% |
De Minaur managed to score 9 aces . Virtanen bagged 38 aces (9.5 per match). De Minaur won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 15 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 15/54 |
| % Converted | 43% | 28% |
| Conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Saved | 9 | 13 |
| % Saved | 69% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
The Australian broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. De Minaur dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The Finn broke his opponents 15 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Finn conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Giron |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 41 | |
| pts | 147-130 | 147-130 | |
| Total points | 277 | 277 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 26% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 12 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 57/139 | 57/139 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 41% | |
| 1st pts | 38/57 | 38/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 48/82 | 48/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Virtanen | ||||||
| Q1 Broady |
Q2 Jubb |
Q3 Pouille |
R1 Halys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-67 | 6-3 6-73 6-3 | 7-62 1-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 6-74 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 31 | 29 | 39 | 124 | |
| pts | 99-91 | 111-103 | 92-84 | 138-108 | 440-386 | |
| Total points | 190 | 214 | 176 | 246 | 826 | |
| Winners | 38 | 45 | 37 | 49 | 169 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 40% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 47/81 | 65/106 | 45/77 | 57/104 | 214/368 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 61% | 58% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 45/65 | 37/45 | 49/57 | 169/214 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 69% | 82% | 86% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/34 | 21/41 | 18/32 | 31/47 | 81/154 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 51% | 56% | 66% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | 2/12 | 5/16 | 15/54 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | 17% | 31% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 4/6 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 25% | 100% | 259% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWWL
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