Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.065
Lucia Bronzetti -> 8.8

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Lucia Bronzetti

This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in Brisbane back in January 2024.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti – Brisbane 03-January-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

40 - 11win/loss

Hard
24-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-4
Grass
1-1
Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Aryna reached the 2nd round after beating Priscilla Hon 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Hon (6-3 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 65 points vs Hon’s 48. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka bagged 3 aces and she was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 72% (26/36) of her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian broke Hon 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (358-165). 24-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate213-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5.

Sabalenka has an aggregate 40-11 win-loss record in 2024, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Sabalenka's Record

Lucia Bronzetti

Lucia Bronzetti

20 - 26win/loss

Hard
8-14
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-8
Grass
2-3
Rank
78
High
46
LLWWWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-34 17-22 9-8 1-1 2-3 0-0
2023 32-30 15-17 10-9 4-2 3-2 0-0
2022 36-26 18-10 13-10 3-3 2-3 0-0
2021 53-23 14-4 38-14 1-5 0-0 0-0
2020 11-11 0-2 5-4 6-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 76, Bronzetti reached the 2nd round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-3 ret..

In the 1st round against Sun, the Italian had a free pass after Sun retired on a 6-3 . scoreline.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Contrexeville where she overcame Mayar Sherif in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 7-5.

Lucia has a composed 20-26 win-loss record in 2024, 8-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

U.S. Open
Bronzetti's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Sabalenka
L.Bronzetti
1h:19
1h:19
Time on court​
1h:04
1h:04
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
1h:04
1h:04
1
1
Match played
1
1
18
18
Games Played​
9
9
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
65
65
Total points​
36
36
65
65
Avg point​
36
36
26
26
Winners
15
15
26
26
Avg Winners​
15
15
40%
40%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
3
3
3
3
Avg Aces
3
3
0
0
Double Faults
0
0
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0
0
26/36
26/36
1st won total​
15/21
15/21
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
14/24
14/24
2nd won total​
9/16
9/16
58%
58%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
1/1
1/1
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
1/1
1/1
!
57%
57%
Won
!
100%
100%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
5
5
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Bronzetti
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 9
Pts 65-48 36-30
Total Points 113 66
Winners 26 15
%Winners 40% 42%

Both Sabalenka and Bronzetti played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bronzetti have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 9 games more than Bronzetti. Aryna scored 26 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 15 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Bronzetti
Aces 3 3
Avg per match 3 3
1st in 36/60 21/37
%1st in 60% 57%
1st pts 26/36 15/21
%1st pts 72% 71%
2nd pts 14/24 9/16
%2nd pts 58% 56%

Sabalenka recorded 3 aces . Bronzetti managed to score 3 aces . Sabalenka won 72% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Bronzetti
Won 4 1
Converted 4/7 1/1
% Converted 57% 100%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 5 4
% Saved 83% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Sabalenka broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Lucia broke her opponent once with a 100% conversion rate. Lucia was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Sabalenka
R1
Hon
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 65-48 65-48
Total points 113 113
Winners 26 26
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 36/60 36/60
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 26/36 26/36
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 14/24 14/24
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1
Bronzetti
R1
Sun
Total
Score 6-3 ret.
Tot Set 1 1
Tot Games 9 9
pts 36-30 36-30
Total points 66 66
Winners 15 15
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 21/37 21/37
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 15/21 15/21
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 9/16 9/16
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/1 1/1
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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