Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.065
Lucia Bronzetti -> 8.8
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Lucia Bronzetti
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in Brisbane back in January 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti – Brisbane 03-January-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
40 - 11win/loss
1
1
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Aryna reached the 2nd round after beating Priscilla Hon 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Hon (6-3 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 65 points vs Hon’s 48. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka bagged 3 aces and she was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 72% (26/36) of her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian broke Hon 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (358-165). 24-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate213-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 40-11 win-loss record in 2024, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Lucia Bronzetti
20 - 26win/loss
78
46
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 29-34 | 17-22 | 9-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 11-11 | 0-2 | 5-4 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 76, Bronzetti reached the 2nd round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-3 ret..
In the 1st round against Sun, the Italian had a free pass after Sun retired on a 6-3 . scoreline.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Contrexeville where she overcame Mayar Sherif in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 7-5.
Lucia has a composed 20-26 win-loss record in 2024, 8-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Bronzetti |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 18 | 9 |
Pts | 65-48 | 36-30 |
Total Points | 113 | 66 |
Winners | 26 | 15 |
%Winners | 40% | 42% |
Both Sabalenka and Bronzetti played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bronzetti have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 9 games more than Bronzetti. Aryna scored 26 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 15 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Bronzetti |
---|---|---|
Aces | 3 | 3 |
Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
1st in | 36/60 | 21/37 |
%1st in | 60% | 57% |
1st pts | 26/36 | 15/21 |
%1st pts | 72% | 71% |
2nd pts | 14/24 | 9/16 |
%2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
Sabalenka recorded 3 aces . Bronzetti managed to score 3 aces . Sabalenka won 72% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Bronzetti |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 1 |
Converted | 4/7 | 1/1 |
% Converted | 57% | 100% |
Conceded | 6 | 4 |
Saved | 5 | 4 |
% Saved | 83% | 100% |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Lucia broke her opponent once with a 100% conversion rate. Lucia was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
Sabalenka | |||
R1 Hon | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
pts | 65-48 | 65-48 | |
Total points | 113 | 113 | |
Winners | 26 | 26 | |
%Winners | 40% | 40% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 36/60 | 36/60 | |
% 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
1st pts | 26/36 | 26/36 | |
% 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
% 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Bronzetti | |||
R1 Sun | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 ret. | ||
Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
Tot Games | 9 | 9 | |
pts | 36-30 | 36-30 | |
Total points | 66 | 66 | |
Winners | 15 | 15 | |
%Winners | 42% | 42% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 21/37 | 21/37 | |
% 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
1st pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
% 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
% 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 1 | 1 | |
Converted | 1/1 | 1/1 | |
Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Brian BencicBencic (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrey ChepelevChepelev (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino PortalesPortales – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo Grassi MazzuchiPablo Grassi Mazzuchi – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Johan NiklesNikles – Diego HidalgoHidalgo (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Vasile-Alexandru GhileaGhilea (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Simone RoncalliRoncalli (6-3 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction