Elise Mertens and Ajla Tomljanovic will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.41
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 2.92

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Ajla Tomljanovic

This will be the 4th time that Elise Mertens and Ajla Tomljanovic square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Tomljanovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Tomljanovic won 4-6 6-4 3-0 ret. in the Rubber 2 in Billie Jean King Cup, Finals back in 2022.

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens

22 - 20win/loss

Hard
12-10
I Hard
1-1
Clay
6-5
Grass
3-4
Rank
34
High
12
LWLLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 27-25 17-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 35, the Belgian reached the 2nd round after beating Veronika Kudermetova 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round against Kudermetova, Mertens recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 89 points vs Kudermetova’s 82. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mertens struck 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 43% of her first serves in, winning 64% (23/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (26/48) on the 2nd serve. Elise broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (357-224). 12-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has an aggregate 191-112 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Elise’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Hobart.

The Belgian has an aggregate 22-20 win-loss record in 2024, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Mertens's Record

Ajla Tomljanovic

Ajla Tomljanovic

13 - 14win/loss

Hard
3-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-4
Grass
8-3
Rank
85
High
32
WLWWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-19 12-12 2-4 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 7-3 2-2 5-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 38-27 19-14 7-6 5-4 7-3 0-0
2021 30-24 11-12 10-6 3-3 6-3 0-0
2020 5-12 4-8 0-3 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 118, Ajla reached the 2nd round after beating Ann Li 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Li (6-4 6-4). During the match Tomljanovic scored 82 points vs Li’s 74. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Tomljanovic bagged 2 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve twice and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 64% of her first serves in, winning 63% (40/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Ajla broke Li 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

The Australian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Birmingham.

Ajla has a compiled 13-14 win-loss record in 2024, 3-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.

U.S. Open
Tomljanovic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

E.Mertens
A.Tomljanovic
2h:27
2h:27
Time on court​
1h:41
1h:41
!
2h:27
2h:27
Last match​
1h:41
1h:41
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
20
20
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
89
89
Total points​
82
82
89
89
Avg point​
82
82
23
23
Winners
40
40
23
23
Avg Winners​
40
40
26%
26%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
2
2
5
5
Avg Aces
2
2
6
6
Double Faults
11
11
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
!
11
11
23/36
23/36
1st won total​
40/63
40/63
64%
64%
1st won %
63%
63%
26/48
26/48
2nd won total​
16/35
16/35
54%
54%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
4/9
4/9
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
7
7
Conceded
13
13
7
7
Avg Conceded
13
13
4
4
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
2
2
3
3
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mertens Tomljanovic
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 28 20
Pts 89-82 82-74
Total Points 171 156
Winners 23 40
%Winners 26% 49%

Both Mertens and Tomljanovic played 1 match. At the moment, Elise Mertens surrendered 1 set while Ajla Tomljanovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mertens has played 1 set more than Tomljanovic (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mertens played 8 games more than Tomljanovic. Mertens scored 23 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian made 40 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mertens Tomljanovic
Aces 5 2
Avg per match 5 2
1st in 36/84 63/98
%1st in 43% 64%
1st pts 23/36 40/63
%1st pts 64% 63%
2nd pts 26/48 16/35
%2nd pts 54% 46%

Mertens bagged 5 aces . Tomljanovic struck 2 aces . Mertens won 64% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mertens Tomljanovic
Won 5 4
Converted 5/10 4/9
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 7 13
Saved 3 11
% Saved 43% 85%
Times Broken 4 2

Mertens broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Belgian surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Ajla broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Ajla conceded her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
R1
Kudermetova
Total
Score 3-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 89-82 89-82
Total points 171 171
Winners 23 23
%Winners 26% 26%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 36/84 36/84
% 1st in 43% 43%
1st pts 23/36 23/36
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 26/48 26/48
% 2nd pts 54% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 3/7 3
Saved % 43% 43%
Times Broken 4 4
Tomljanovic
R1
Li
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 82-74 82-74
Total points 156 156
Winners 40 40
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 11 11
1st in 63/98 63/98
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 40/63 40/63
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 16/35 16/35
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 11/13 11
Saved % 85% 85%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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