Madison Keys and Maya Joint will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.121
Maya Joint -> 6.25
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Maya Joint
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Maya Joint since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Madison Keys
21 - 9win/loss
14
7
WLLWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-9 | 4-3 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Keys got to the 2nd round after beating Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Siniakova (6-4 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 64 points vs Siniakova’s 46. The American was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 75% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Siniakova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (255-138). 4-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has a composed 147-81 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.
Madison has a compiled 21-9 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Maya Joint
54 - 19win/loss
135
135
WWWWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-19 | 29-9 | 21-8 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-8 | 7-6 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135 (career-high), Maya reached the 2nd round after defeating Maja Chwalinska 6-0 6-3, Iryna Shymanovich 7-5 3-6 6-0, Hailey Baptiste 6-2 6-1 and Laura Siegemund 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Joint had a good straight sets win against Siegemund (6-4 7-5). During the match Joint scored 65 points vs Siegemund’s 56. Joint was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Joint scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Maya Joint lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Joint put 67% of her first serves in, winning 60% (24/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Maya broke Siegemund 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the W75 Burnie where she defeated Aoi Ito in the final 1-6 6-1 7-5 and the W35 Santo Domingo where she overcame Xinyu Gao in the final 6-4 2-6 6-1.
The American has a compiled 54-19 win-loss record in 2024, 29-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 79 |
| Pts | 64-46 | 285-211 |
| Total Points | 110 | 496 |
| Winners | 25 | 100 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Keys played 1 match while Joint competed in 4 matches. Joint started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Maya Joint dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t dropped a set so far. Keys has played 7 set(s) less than Joint (2 vs 9). Therefore, Keys played 62 games less than Joint. Madison scored 25 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Joint bagged 100 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 36/48 | 150/229 |
| %1st in | 75% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 100/150 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 41/79 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 52% |
Keys bagged 1 ace . Joint also managed to score 4 aces (1 per match). Keys won 69% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Joint won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 24 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 24/38 |
| % Converted | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded | 2 | 16 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 31% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 11 |
The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 24 times with a 63% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 31% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R1 Siniakova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 64-46 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/48 | 36/48 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 25/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 8/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Joint | ||||||
| Q1 Chwalinska |
Q2 Shymanovich |
Q3 Baptiste |
R1 Siegemund |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 7-5 3-6 6-0 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 27 | 15 | 22 | 79 | |
| pts | 65-43 | 101-84 | 54-28 | 65-56 | 285-211 | |
| Total points | 108 | 185 | 82 | 121 | 496 | |
| Winners | 19 | 35 | 22 | 24 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 35% | 41% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/46 | 53/84 | 26/39 | 40/60 | 150/229 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 63% | 67% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 19/31 | 35/53 | 22/26 | 24/40 | 100/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 66% | 85% | 60% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 14/31 | 7/13 | 12/20 | 41/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 45% | 54% | 60% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/13 | 5/6 | 5/9 | 24/38 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 54% | 83% | 56% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/9 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWLWLW
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