Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Sonego will fight against each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.26
Lorenzo Sonego -> 3.88

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Sonego face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but Sonego leads 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sonego won 7-6(9) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
8
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-10 10-4 12-4 3-1 0-1 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 14, Paul will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 6-2 4-6 7-5 to Cobolli in the 1st round on the 12th of August.

Paul has a compiled 35-14 win-loss record in 2024, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

Talking about his overall career, The American has an overall 385-219 record. He has a positive 186-109 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Paul's Record

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
47
High
21
LWLWLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-16 7-6 1-5 1-2 2-3 0-0
2024 27-33 10-14 10-11 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 58, will start his run at the New York after he won the title in Winston Salem after beating 6-0 6-3 Michelsen in the final.

The Italian has a compiled 23-25 win-loss record in 2024, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Salem where he beat Alex Michelsen in the final 6-0 6-3.

In terms of his career, Sonego has an overall 358-272 record. He has a flat 74-74 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018, 2019 and 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Sonego's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

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  • Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Reilly OpelkaOpelkaLorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-0) – H2H and prediction
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  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoTommy PaulPaul (1-2) – H2H and prediction
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