Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Sonego will fight against each other in the final of the Winston-Salem for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.74
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.1

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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Sonego clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sonego won 6-3 2-6 6-3 in the 1st round in the Cagliari Challenger back in May 2024.

Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen

32 - 27win/loss

Hard
20-11
I Hard
1-1
Clay
4-9
Grass
7-6
Rank
52
High
52
LWWWWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-27 20-11 4-9 1-1 7-6 0-0
2023 61-27 30-13 4-3 19-7 8-4 0-0
2022 23-10 14-8 0-1 9-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 52 (career-high), Alex got to the final after defeating Marton Fucsovics 7-6(3) 6-4, Zizou Bergs 6-1 6-2, Christopher Eubanks 7-5 6-7(6) 7-6(5) and Pablo Carreno-Busta 7-6(5) 2-1 ret..

In the semifinal against Carreno-Busta, Alex had a free pass after Carreno-Busta retired on a 7-65 2-1 . scoreline.

Michelsen has a solid record in the last 3 years having won 65% of his matches (116-63). 20-10 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Michelsen has an overall64-31 win-loss record in the last 3 years on hard.

The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Newport.

Alex has an aggregate 32-26 win-loss record in 2024, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Winston-Salem

Salem Open
Michelsen's Record

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

23 - 25win/loss

Hard
10-10
I Hard
0-1
Clay
10-11
Grass
3-3
Rank
58
High
21
WWWWLWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 23-25 10-10 10-11 0-1 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0
2020 13-15 0-5 7-7 6-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 58, Lorenzo reached the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Dominic Stricker 6-4 6-1, Juncheng Shang w/o, Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-5 and David Goffin 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, Sonego had a good straight sets win against Goffin (6-3 6-2). During the match Sonego scored 59 points vs Goffin’s 42. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Sonego struck 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Sonego was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sonego broke Goffin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sonego hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Lorenzo’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Turin Challenger and Salem.

The Italian has an overall 22-25 win-loss record in 2024, 9-10 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Winston-Salem

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019 and 2022. See his history.

Salem Open
Sonego's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Michelsen
L.Sonego
!
6h:52
6h:52
Time on court​
4h:21
4h:21
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
!
4
4
Match played
3
3
92
92
Games Played​
55
55
10
10
Set played​​
6
6
312
312
Total points​
200
200
78
78
Avg point​
66.7
66.7
144
144
Winners
93
93
36
36
Avg Winners​
31
31
46%
46%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
15
15
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
5
5
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
144/199
144/199
1st won total​
93/121
93/121
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
43/83
43/83
2nd won total​
32/59
32/59
52%
52%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
13/26
13/26
BP won
9/24
9/24
3.3/6.5
3.3/6.5
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
50%
50%
Won
38%
38%
12
12
Conceded
14
14
3
3
Avg Conceded
4.7
4.7
6
6
Broken
1
1
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
6
6
Saved
13
13
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Michelsen Sonego
Match played 4 3
Tot Set 10 6
Tot Games 92 55
Pts 312-274 200-149
Total Points 586 349
Winners 144 93
%Winners 46% 47%

Michelsen played 4 matches while Sonego competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Alex Michelsen lost 1 set while Lorenzo Sonego hasn’t dropped a set so far. Michelsen has played 4 sets more than Sonego (10 vs 6). Therefore, Michelsen played 37 games more than Sonego. The American scored 144 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo blasted 93 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Michelsen Sonego
Aces 13 15
Avg per match 3.3 5
1st in 199/282 121/180
%1st in 71% 67%
1st pts 144/199 93/121
%1st pts 72% 77%
2nd pts 43/83 32/59
%2nd pts 52% 54%

Michelsen recorded 13 aces (3.3 per match). Sonego struck 15 aces (5 per match). Michelsen won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Michelsen Sonego
Won 13 9
Converted 13/26 9/24
% Converted 50% 38%
Conceded 12 14
Saved 6 13
% Saved 50% 93%
Times Broken 6 1

Michelsen broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
R2
Fucsovics		 R3
Bergs		 1/4
Eubanks		 1/2
Carreno-Busta		 Total
Score 7-63 6-4 6-1 6-2 7-5 6-76 7-65 7-65 2-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 23 15 38 16 92
pts 80-75 62-43 115-105 55-51 312-274
Total points 155 105 220 106 586
Winners 33 28 61 22 144
%Winners 41% 45% 53% 40% 46%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 8 2 13
Double Faults 2 2 2 0 6
1st in 52/72 37/53 79/111 31/46 199/282
% 1st in 72% 70% 71% 67% 71%
1st pts 33/52 28/37 61/79 22/31 144/199
% 1st pts 63% 76% 77% 71% 72%
2nd pts 13/20 8/16 16/32 6/15 43/83
% 2nd pts 65% 50% 50% 40% 52%
Breaks
Won 2 4 4 3 13
Converted 2/5 4/9 4/5 3/7 13/26
Converted % 40% 44% 80% 43% 50%
Conceded 1 3 6 2 12
Saved 0/1 3/3 3/6 0/2 6
Saved % 0% 100% 50% 0% 38%
Times Broken 1 0 3 2 6
Sonego
R2
Stricker		 R3
Shang		 1/4
Kotov		 1/2
Goffin		 Total
Score 6-4 6-1 w/o 6-3 7-5 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 – 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 – 21 17 55
pts 63-46 – 78-61 59-42 200-149
Total points 109 – 139 101 349
Winners 32 – 37 24 93
%Winners 51% – 47% 41% 47%
SERVE
Aces 7 – 6 2 15
Double Faults 1 – 1 0 2
1st in 41/67 – 48/62 32/51 121/180
% 1st in 61% – 77% 63% 67%
1st pts 32/41 – 37/48 24/32 93/121
% 1st pts 78% – 77% 75% 77%
2nd pts 12/26 – 7/14 13/19 32/59
% 2nd pts 46% – 50% 68% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 – 3 3 9
Converted 3/4 – 3/14 3/6 9/24
Converted % 75% – 21% 50% 38%
Conceded 8 – 6 0 14
Saved 8/8 – 5/6 0/0 13
Saved % 100% – 83% – 46%
Times Broken 0 – 1 0 1

Upcoming matches in the draw

Michelsen
More Stats
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Sonego

Click for FULL STATS