Alex Michelsen and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the semifinal of the Winston-Salem for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.68
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.19

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alex Michelsen

Ranked no. 52 (career-high), Alex got to the semifinal after beating Marton Fucsovics 7-6(3) 6-4, Zizou Bergs 6-1 6-2 and Christopher Eubanks 7-5 6-7(6) 7-6(5).

In the quarter, The American defeated Eubanks (7-5 6-7⁶ 7-6⁵). During the match, Michelsen scored 115 points vs Eubanks’s 105. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Regarding the service games, Michelsen blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 71% of his first serves in, winning 77% (61/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Eubanks 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Michelsen has a solid match record in the last 3 years having won 65% of his matches (115-63). 19-10 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has an aggregate63-31 match record in the last 3 years on hard.

Alex’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Newport.

Michelsen has an overall 31-26 win-loss record in 2024, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Winston-Salem

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 299, Carreno-Busta got to the semifinal after defeating Omni Kumar 6-2 6-0, Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 4-6 6-3 and Learner Tien 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-4 6-2). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 68 points vs Tien’s 53. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta scored 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Tien 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Pablo has an overall 8-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Winston-Salem

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2016. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Michelsen	Carreno-Busta
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	7	9
Tot Games	76	76
Pts	257-223	279-199
Total Points	480	478
Winners	122	112
%Winners	47%	40%

Michelsen played 3 matches while Carreno-Busta competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen surrendered 1 set, while Pablo Carreno-Busta surrendered 1 set. Michelsen has played 2 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (7 vs 9). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (76). Alex scored 122 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo made 112 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Michelsen	Carreno-Busta
Aces	11	13
Avg per match	3.7	3.3
1st in	168/236	152/247
%1st in	71%	62%
1st pts	122/168	112/152
%1st pts	73%	74%
2nd pts	37/68	53/95
%2nd pts	54%	56%

Michelsen made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Carreno-Busta blasted 13 aces (3.3 per match). Michelsen won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Michelsen	Carreno-Busta
Won	10	19
Converted	10/19	19/33
% Converted	53%	58%
Conceded	10	20
Saved	6	15
% Saved	60%	75%
Times Broken	4	5

The American broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 19 times with a 58% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
	R2 Fucsovics	R3 Bergs	1/4 Eubanks	Total
Score	7-63 6-4	6-1 6-2	7-5 6-76 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	23	15	38	76
pts	80-75	62-43	115-105	257-223
Total points	155	105	220	480
Winners	33	28	61	122
%Winners	41%	45%	53%	47%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	8	11
Double Faults	2	2	2	6
1st in	52/72	37/53	79/111	168/236
% 1st in	72%	70%	71%	71%
1st pts	33/52	28/37	61/79	122/168
% 1st pts	63%	76%	77%	73%
2nd pts	13/20	8/16	16/32	37/68
% 2nd pts	65%	50%	50%	54%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	10
Converted	2/5	4/9	4/5	10/19
Converted %	40%	44%	80%	53%
Conceded	1	3	6	10
Saved	0/1	3/3	3/6	6
Saved %	0%	100%	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	0	3	4

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Kumar	R2 Shevchenko	R3 Vukic	1/4 Tien	Total
Score	6-2 6-0	6-2 6-2	6-3 4-6 6-3	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	14	16	28	18	76
pts	55-32	62-41	94-73	68-53	279-199
Total points	87	103	167	121	478
Winners	20	20	42	30	112
%Winners	36%	32%	45%	44%	40%
SERVE
Aces	6	2	3	2	13
Double Faults	3	3	3	0	9
1st in	26/47	23/53	56/80	47/67	152/247
% 1st in	55%	43%	70%	70%	62%
1st pts	20/26	20/23	42/56	30/47	112/152
% 1st pts	77%	87%	75%	64%	74%
2nd pts	12/21	15/30	13/24	13/20	53/95
% 2nd pts	57%	50%	54%	65%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	4	19
Converted	5/7	5/9	5/8	4/9	19/33
Converted %	71%	56%	63%	44%	58%
Conceded	4	4	7	5	20
Saved	4/4	3/4	4/7	4/5	15
Saved %	100%	75%	57%	80%	104%
Times Broken	0	1	3	1	5

Tennis Scores in Salem Open

• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-5 6-7⁶ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Pavel KotovKotov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jamie Murray/John PeersMurray/John Peers – Nicolas Barrientos/Skander MansouriBarrientos/Skander Mansouri (7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Rafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo Melo (7-6¹ 6-7⁴ 11-9) – See score progression
• Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway – Constantin Frantzen/Hendrik JebensFrantzen/Hendrik Jebens (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-5 6-7(6) 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – (0-0) – H2H and prediction