Yibing Wu and Keegan Smith will play each other in the semifinal of the Jinan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:30 am on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yibing Wu who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yibing Wu is the pick to win this match.
Yibing Wu -> 1.33
Keegan Smith -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Yibing Wu vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between Yibing Wu and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Yibing Wu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-1 | 5-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-17 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 9-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-7 | 20-5 | 10-2 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 582, Wu reached the semifinal after defeating Stefanos Sakellaridis 4-6 6-1 6-4, Tung-Lin Wu 7-5 7-5, Fajing Sun 6-3 6-2 and Keegan Smith 3-6 6-0 6-2.
In the quarter, Yibing had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-3 6-2). During the match, Wu scored 60 points vs Sun’s 49. The Chinese was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Wu fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yibing Wu lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 56% of his first serves in, winning 73% (24/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Wu broke Sun 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Wu has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Wu has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (116-67). 3-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Wu has an overall65-43 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Yibing has an overall 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Keegan Smith
25 - 16win/loss
639
339
LWWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 25-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 639, Smith reached the semifinal after beating Seita Watanabe 6-4 6-2, Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 6-4 6-4, Mikalai Haliak 6-4 6-1, Ji Sung Nam 7-6(6) 7-5 and Ye Cong Mo 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Keegan had a good straight sets win against Cong Mo (6-2 6-2). During the match Smith scored 54 points vs Cong Mo’s 29. Smith was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Smith scored 9 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Keegan Smith was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Smith broke Cong Mo 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Lakewood.
Smith has a composed 25-15 win-loss record in 2024, 25-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Wu | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 96 |
| Pts | 221-193 | 326-228 |
| Total Points | 414 | 554 |
| Winners | 95 | 154 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Wu played 3 matches while Smith competed in 5 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Wu had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yibing Wu conceded 1 set while Keegan Smith hasn’t conceded a set so far. Wu has played 3 set(s) less than Smith (7 vs 10). Therefore, Wu played 28 games less than Smith. The Chinese scored 95 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan bagged 154 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Wu | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 136/221 | 184/249 |
| %1st in | 62% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 95/136 | 154/184 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 45/85 | 41/65 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 63% |
Wu fired 16 aces (5.3 per match). Smith managed to score 30 aces (6 per match). Wu won 70% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Wu | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/23 | 16/39 |
| % Converted | 57% | 41% |
| Conceded | 19 | 8 |
| Saved | 13 | 5 |
| % Saved | 68% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Yibing broke his opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Chinese surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Smith broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. Smith conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Wu | |||||
| R1 Sakellaridis |
R2 Wu |
1/4 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 24 | 17 | 68 | |
| pts | 83-77 | 78-67 | 60-49 | 221-193 | |
| Total points | 160 | 145 | 109 | 414 | |
| Winners | 39 | 32 | 24 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 55/83 | 48/79 | 33/59 | 136/221 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 61% | 56% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 32/48 | 24/33 | 95/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 67% | 73% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 18/31 | 13/26 | 45/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 50% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 63% | 80% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 8/11 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 73% | 75% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Smith | |||||||
| Q1 Watanabe |
Q3 Trongcharoenchaikul |
R1 Haliak |
R2 Sung Nam |
1/4 Cong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-66 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 16 | 96 | |
| pts | 63-37 | 67-50 | 58-34 | 84-78 | 54-29 | 326-228 | |
| Total points | 100 | 117 | 92 | 162 | 83 | 554 | |
| Winners | 30 | 28 | 28 | 41 | 27 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 42% | 48% | 49% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/41 | 33/48 | 33/48 | 53/73 | 31/39 | 184/249 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 69% | 69% | 73% | 79% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 28/33 | 28/33 | 41/53 | 27/31 | 154/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 85% | 85% | 77% | 87% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/7 | 13/15 | 9/15 | 8/20 | 5/8 | 41/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 86% | 87% | 60% | 40% | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/6 | 4/9 | 3/10 | 4/7 | 16/39 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 44% | 30% | 57% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 83% | 0% | – | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWW
LWWWWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Jinan Challenger
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Philip HenningHenning (6-4 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
- Francis Casey Alcantara/Fajing SunCasey Alcantara/Fajing Sun – Philip Henning/Kris Van WykHenning/Kris Van Wyk (1-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Woobin ShinShin (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Fajing SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Keegan SmithSmith – Ye Cong MoCong Mo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yibing WuWu – Keegan SmithSmith (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (2-0) – H2H and prediction
