Learner Tien and Pablo Carreno-Busta will play each other in the quarter of the Winston-Salem for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.61
Learner Tien -> 2.32

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Learner Tien vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

There is no head to head record between Learner Tien and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Learner Tien

Ranked no. 230 (career-high), Learner got to the quarter after defeating Andres Martin 7-6(2) 6-3, Dhakshineswar Suresh 6-3 6-4, Tristan Schoolkate 3-6 6-2 6-3, Fabian Marozsan 6-2 6-7(1) 7-6(2) and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-4 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Tien had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (6-4 6-3). During the match, Tien scored 70 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 56. Tien was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tien scored just 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Learner Tien lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 78% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the 2nd serve. Learner broke Seyboth Wild 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Tien has a fantastic record in the last 3 years having won 76% of his matches (81-26). 39-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Tien has a composed67-19 match record in the last 3 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Bloomfield Hills Challenger where he overcame Nishesh Basavareddy in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.

Learner has an aggregate 39-5 win-loss record in 2024, 39-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Winston-Salem

Learner has never competed in this tournament before.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 299, Pablo reached the quarter after beating Omni Kumar 6-2 6-0, Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-2 and Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Carreno-Busta defeated Vukic (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 94 points vs Vukic’s 73. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite effective on serve to win 75% (42/56) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Pablo broke Vukic 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Pablo has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tien	Carreno-Busta
Match played	5	3
Tot Set	12	7
Tot Games	120	58
Pts	404-342	211-146
Total Points	746	357
Winners	166	82
%Winners	41%	39%

Tien played 5 matches while Carreno-Busta competed in 3 matches. Tien started his run from the qualifications while Carreno-Busta had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Learner Tien dropped 2 sets, while Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set. Tien has played 5 sets more than Carreno-Busta (12 vs 7). Therefore, Tien played 62 games more than Carreno-Busta. Learner scored 166 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Carreno-Busta blasted 82 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tien	Carreno-Busta
Aces	13	11
Avg per match	2.6	3.7
1st in	242/351	105/180
%1st in	69%	58%
1st pts	166/242	82/105
%1st pts	69%	78%
2nd pts	67/109	40/75
%2nd pts	61%	53%

Tien blasted 13 aces (2.6 per match). Carreno-Busta managed to score 11 aces (3.7 per match). Tien won 69% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tien	Carreno-Busta
Won	20	15
Converted	20/52	15/24
% Converted	38%	63%
Conceded	24	15
Saved	14	11
% Saved	58%	73%
Times Broken	10	4

The American broke his opponents 20 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 10 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 15 times with a 63% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Tien
	Q1 Martin	Q3 Suresh	R1 Schoolkate	R2 Marozsan	R3 Seyboth	Total
Score	7-62 6-3	6-3 6-4	3-6 6-2 6-3	6-2 6-71 7-62	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	2	12
Tot Games	22	19	26	34	19	120
pts	76-62	63-46	84-79	111-99	70-56	404-342
Total points	138	109	163	210	126	746
Winners	29	26	34	44	33	166
%Winners	38%	41%	40%	40%	47%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	4	3	1	13
Double Faults	1	1	3	0	1	6
1st in	42/61	29/48	52/82	70/97	49/63	242/351
% 1st in	69%	60%	63%	72%	78%	69%
1st pts	29/42	26/29	34/52	44/70	33/49	166/242
% 1st pts	69%	90%	65%	63%	67%	69%
2nd pts	9/19	14/19	18/30	16/27	10/14	67/109
% 2nd pts	47%	74%	60%	59%	71%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	2	4	6	3	20
Converted	5/12	2/5	4/11	6/14	3/10	20/52
Converted %	42%	40%	36%	43%	30%	38%
Conceded	4	0	8	9	3	24
Saved	1/4	0/0	6/8	5/9	2/3	14
Saved %	25%	–	75%	56%	67%	45%
Times Broken	3	0	2	4	1	10

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Kumar	R2 Shevchenko	R3 Vukic	Total
Score	6-2 6-0	6-2 6-2	6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	14	16	28	58
pts	55-32	62-41	94-73	211-146
Total points	87	103	167	357
Winners	20	20	42	82
%Winners	36%	32%	45%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	2	3	11
Double Faults	3	3	3	9
1st in	26/47	23/53	56/80	105/180
% 1st in	55%	43%	70%	58%
1st pts	20/26	20/23	42/56	82/105
% 1st pts	77%	87%	75%	78%
2nd pts	12/21	15/30	13/24	40/75
% 2nd pts	57%	50%	54%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	15
Converted	5/7	5/9	5/8	15/24
Converted %	71%	56%	63%	63%
Conceded	4	4	7	15
Saved	4/4	3/4	4/7	11
Saved %	100%	75%	57%	46%
Times Broken	0	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Salem Open

• Learner TienTien – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Zizou BergsBergs (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 1-6 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Borna CoricCoric (3-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Pavel KotovKotov – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Juncheng ShangShang (w/o) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Zizou BergsBergs (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 1-6 7-6(8)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Pavel KotovKotov – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction