Jessika Ponchet and Elizabeth Mandlik will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 13. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elizabeth Mandlik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elizabeth Mandlik is the pick to win this match.
Elizabeth Mandlik -> 1.74
Jessika Ponchet -> 2.05

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Prediction and head to head Jessika Ponchet vs. Elizabeth Mandlik

This will be the 2^nd time that Jessika Ponchet and Elizabeth Mandlik square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mandlik (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Mandlik won 6-4 6-2 in the qualifications in Madrid back in April 2024.

Jessika Ponchet

Ranked no. 143, Jessika got to the qualifications after defeating Jana Fett 6-2 6-1 and Lucija Ciric Bagaric 6-1 7-6(2).

In the qualifications, Ponchet had a good straight sets win against Ciric Bagaric (6-1 7-6²). During the match, Ponchet scored 91 points vs Ciric Bagaric’s 77. Ponchet was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ponchet struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jessika Ponchet was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jessika broke Ciric Bagaric 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jessika started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Ponchet has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 60% of her matches (296-197). 9-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ponchet has a compiled100-65 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Jessika’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Boutheon and the W100 Ilkley.

The French player has an aggregate 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Elizabeth Mandlik

Ranked no. 168, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Sara Bejlek 6-3 6-4 and Mirjam Bjorklund 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications, Elizabeth had a good straight sets win against Bjorklund (6-4 6-4). During the match Mandlik scored 68 points vs Bjorklund’s 63. The American was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Mandlik scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Elizabeth Mandlik lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mandlik put 60% of her first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Bjorklund 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mandlik started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.

The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the W75 Lexington.

Mandlik has an aggregate 13-17 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ponchet	Mandlik
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	35	39
Pts	148-108	135-118
Total Points	256	253
Winners	51	58
%Winners	34%	43%

Both Ponchet and Mandlik played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ponchet and Mandlik have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Ponchet played 4 games less than Mandlik. Jessika scored 51 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Mandlik bagged 58 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ponchet	Mandlik
Aces	10	3
Avg per match	5	1.5
1st in	65/114	91/141
%1st in	57%	65%
1st pts	51/65	58/91
%1st pts	78%	64%
2nd pts	30/49	25/50
%2nd pts	61%	50%

Ponchet blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Mandlik scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Ponchet won 78% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Mandlik won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ponchet	Mandlik
Won	7	9
Converted	7/23	9/13
% Converted	30%	69%
Conceded	5	15
Saved	4	10
% Saved	80%	67%
Times Broken	1	5

Jessika broke her opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Ponchet dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Elizabeth broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Elizabeth conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Ponchet
	Q1 Fett	Q2 Ciric	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-1 7-62
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	20	35
pts	57-31	91-77	148-108
Total points	88	168	256
Winners	20	31	51
%Winners	35%	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	10
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	24/42	41/72	65/114
% 1st in	57%	57%	57%
1st pts	20/24	31/41	51/65
% 1st pts	83%	76%	78%
2nd pts	14/18	16/31	30/49
% 2nd pts	78%	52%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/13	3/10	7/23
Converted %	31%	30%	30%
Conceded	1	4	5
Saved	1/1	3/4	4
Saved %	100%	75%	88%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Mandlik
	Q1 Bejlek	Q2 Bjorklund	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	20	39
pts	67-55	68-63	135-118
Total points	122	131	253
Winners	32	26	58
%Winners	48%	38%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	47/68	44/73	91/141
% 1st in	69%	60%	65%
1st pts	32/47	26/44	58/91
% 1st pts	68%	59%	64%
2nd pts	10/21	15/29	25/50
% 2nd pts	48%	52%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/5	5/8	9/13
Converted %	80%	63%	69%
Conceded	6	9	15
Saved	4/6	6/9	10
Saved %	67%	67%	67%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Mason RecciRecci – Sergio BarrancoBarranco (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Giles HusseyHussey – Rayane RoumaneRoumane (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon – Christoffer SolbergSolberg (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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• Ena ShibaharaShibahara – Arianne HartonoHartono (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessika PonchetPonchet – Elizabeth MandlikMandlik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Usue Maitane ArconadaMaitane Arconada – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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• Marina Bassols RiberaBassols Ribera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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• Arina RodionovaRodionova – Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew (1-1) – H2H and prediction