Jessika Ponchet and Elizabeth Mandlik will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 13. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elizabeth Mandlik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elizabeth Mandlik is the pick to win this match.
Elizabeth Mandlik -> 1.74
Jessika Ponchet -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Jessika Ponchet vs. Elizabeth Mandlik
This will be the 2nd time that Jessika Ponchet and Elizabeth Mandlik square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mandlik (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Mandlik won 6-4 6-2 in the qualifications in Madrid back in April 2024.
Jessika Ponchet
28 - 21win/loss
133
104
LLWLWWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-27 | 15-13 | 6-6 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 10-9 | 7-4 | 25-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-26 | 13-8 | 8-3 | 11-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-19 | 19-9 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, Jessika got to the qualifications after defeating Jana Fett 6-2 6-1 and Lucija Ciric Bagaric 6-1 7-6(2).
In the qualifications, Ponchet had a good straight sets win against Ciric Bagaric (6-1 7-62). During the match, Ponchet scored 91 points vs Ciric Bagaric’s 77. Ponchet was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ponchet struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jessika Ponchet was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jessika broke Ciric Bagaric 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessika started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Ponchet has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 60% of her matches (296-197). 9-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ponchet has a compiled100-65 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Jessika’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Boutheon and the W100 Ilkley.
The French player has an aggregate 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Elizabeth Mandlik
13 - 18win/loss
276
97
LLLWWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-27 | 15-14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-33 | 15-17 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-24 | 26-12 | 10-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-22 | 24-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 168, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Sara Bejlek 6-3 6-4 and Mirjam Bjorklund 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Elizabeth had a good straight sets win against Bjorklund (6-4 6-4). During the match Mandlik scored 68 points vs Bjorklund’s 63. The American was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Mandlik scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Elizabeth Mandlik lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mandlik put 60% of her first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Bjorklund 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mandlik started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the W75 Lexington.
Mandlik has an aggregate 13-17 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ponchet | Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 39 |
| Pts | 148-108 | 135-118 |
| Total Points | 256 | 253 |
| Winners | 51 | 58 |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% |
Both Ponchet and Mandlik played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ponchet and Mandlik have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Ponchet played 4 games less than Mandlik. Jessika scored 51 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Mandlik bagged 58 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ponchet | Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 65/114 | 91/141 |
| %1st in | 57% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 51/65 | 58/91 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 30/49 | 25/50 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 50% |
Ponchet blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Mandlik scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Ponchet won 78% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Mandlik won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ponchet | Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 9 |
| Converted | 7/23 | 9/13 |
| % Converted | 30% | 69% |
| Conceded | 5 | 15 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 80% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Jessika broke her opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Ponchet dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Elizabeth broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Elizabeth conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ponchet | ||||
| Q1 Fett |
Q2 Ciric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 35 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 91-77 | 148-108 | |
| Total points | 88 | 168 | 256 | |
| Winners | 20 | 31 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 41/72 | 65/114 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 31/41 | 51/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 16/31 | 30/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 52% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/10 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mandlik | ||||
| Q1 Bejlek |
Q2 Bjorklund |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 67-55 | 68-63 | 135-118 | |
| Total points | 122 | 131 | 253 | |
| Winners | 32 | 26 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/68 | 44/73 | 91/141 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 60% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 26/44 | 58/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 59% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 15/29 | 25/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/8 | 9/13 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 63% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 6/9 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLLWL
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