Aslan Karatsev and Bu Yunchaokete will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.7
Bu Yunchaokete -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Bu Yunchaokete

There is no head to head record between Aslan Karatsev and Bu Yunchaokete since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev

5 - 11win/loss

Hard
4-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-4
Grass
0-2
Rank
99
High
14
WWLWLLLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 5-11 4-5 1-4 0-0 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0
2020 36-11 7-4 17-2 12-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 99, the Russian reached the qualifications after defeating Enzo Couacaud 6-3 6-1 and Marc Polmans 6-0 6-3.

In the qualifications, Karatsev had a good straight sets win against Polmans (6-0 6-3). During the match, Karatsev scored 56 points vs Polmans’s 31. Aslan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Talking about the service games, Karatsev scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Aslan Karatsev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 90% (18/20) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aslan broke Polmans 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karatsev started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 64% of the points he played.

Karatsev has good record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (296-216). 4-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a composed 137-76 match record in the last years on hard.

Karatsev has an aggregate 5-11 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Karatsev's Record

Bu Yunchaokete

Bu Yunchaokete

38 - 16win/loss

Hard
33-9
I Hard
1-2
Clay
3-2
Grass
1-3
Rank
123
High
123
WWLWWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-16 33-9 3-2 1-2 1-3 0-0
2023 37-23 27-15 0-0 6-4 4-4 0-0
2022 87-28 84-24 0-2 0-1 0-0 3-1
2021 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 123 (career-high), Bu reached the qualifications after defeating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-2 7-6(4) and Borna Gojo 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications, Yunchaokete had a good straight sets win against Gojo (6-4 6-4). During the match Yunchaokete scored 69 points vs Gojo’s 60. Bu was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Yunchaokete struck 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Bu Yunchaokete was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Gojo twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he overcame Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he beat Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.

Yunchaokete has an overall 38-16 win-loss record in 2024, 33-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Bu has never competed in this tournament before.

U.S. Open
Yunchaokete's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Karatsev
B.Yunchaokete
1h:53
1h:53
Time on court​
!
3h:00
3h:00
!
0h:56
0h:56
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
2
2
Match played
2
2
31
31
Games Played​
41
41
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
111
111
Total points​
140
140
55.5
55.5
Avg point​
70
70
38
38
Winners
60
60
19
19
Avg Winners​
30
30
34%
34%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
16
16
2
2
Avg Aces
8
8
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
38/45
38/45
1st won total​
60/77
60/77
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
23/34
23/34
2nd won total​
34/60
34/60
!
68%
68%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
9/19
9/19
BP won
5/9
5/9
4.5/9.5
4.5/9.5
Avg BP won
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
47%
47%
Won
!
56%
56%
1
1
Conceded
11
11
0.5
0.5
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
1
1
Broken
1
1
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
0
0
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Karatsev Yunchaokete
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 31 41
Pts 111-62 140-123
Total Points 173 263
Winners 38 60
%Winners 34% 43%

Both Karatsev and Yunchaokete played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Karatsev and Yunchaokete have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Karatsev played 10 games less than Yunchaokete. Aslan scored 38 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Yunchaokete made 60 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Karatsev Yunchaokete
Aces 4 16
Avg per match 2 8
1st in 45/79 77/137
%1st in 57% 56%
1st pts 38/45 60/77
%1st pts 84% 78%
2nd pts 23/34 34/60
%2nd pts 68% 57%

Karatsev scored 4 aces (2 per match). Yunchaokete managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Karatsev won 84% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Yunchaokete won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Karatsev Yunchaokete
Won 9 5
Converted 9/19 5/9
% Converted 47% 56%
Conceded 1 11
Saved 0 10
% Saved 0% 91%
Times Broken 1 1

Aslan broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Yunchaokete broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Bu conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Karatsev
Q1
Couacaud		 Q2
Polmans		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 15 31
pts 55-31 56-31 111-62
Total points 86 87 173
Winners 20 18 38
%Winners 36% 32% 34%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 4
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 25/39 20/40 45/79
% 1st in 64% 50% 57%
1st pts 20/25 18/20 38/45
% 1st pts 80% 90% 84%
2nd pts 9/14 14/20 23/34
% 2nd pts 64% 70% 68%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/11 4/8 9/19
Converted % 45% 50% 47%
Conceded 1 0 1
Saved 0/1 0/0 0
Saved % 0% – 0%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Yunchaokete
Q1
Uchiyama		 Q2
Gojo		 Total
Score 6-2 7-64 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 20 41
pts 71-63 69-60 140-123
Total points 134 129 263
Winners 27 33 60
%Winners 38% 48% 43%
SERVE
Aces 8 8 16
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 34/64 43/73 77/137
% 1st in 53% 59% 56%
1st pts 27/34 33/43 60/77
% 1st pts 79% 77% 78%
2nd pts 18/30 16/30 34/60
% 2nd pts 60% 53% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/6 2/3 5/9
Converted % 50% 67% 56%
Conceded 4 7 11
Saved 3/4 7/7 10
Saved % 75% 100% 88%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Karatsev
More Stats
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Yunchaokete

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