Lorenzo Sonego and Pavel Kotov will square off in the quarter of the Winston-Salem for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Sonego who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Sonego is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Sonego -> 1.68
Pavel Kotov -> 2.19
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Sonego vs. Pavel Kotov
This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Sonego and Pavel Kotov play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kotov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kotov won 6-2 7-5 in the 1st round in Doha back in February 2024.
Highlights Pavel Kotov vs Lorenzo Sonego – Doha 19-February-2024
Lorenzo Sonego
21 - 25win/loss
53
21
LWLWWLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 58, Lorenzo got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Dominic Stricker 6-4 6-1 and Juncheng Shang w/o.
In the 3rd round, The Italian defeated Shang (w/o). During the match, Sonego and Shang scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 58 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Sonego was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Sonego wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Lorenzo Sonego conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Sonego has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (326-258). 7-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sonego has an aggregate 71-74 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Sonego’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Turin Challenger.
Lorenzo has an aggregate 20-25 win-loss record in 2024, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Winston-Salem
Pavel Kotov
17 - 17win/loss
86
50
LLLLLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 63, Pavel reached the quarter after defeating Alexandre Muller 6-4 5-7 6-2 and Zachary Svajda 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Svajda, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Kotov scored 91 points vs Svajda’s 88. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Kotov made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 80% (45/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. Pavel broke Svajda 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Pavel’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.
Kotov has a compiled 17-16 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Winston-Salem
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sonego | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 58 |
| Pts | 63-46 | 192-176 |
| Total Points | 109 | 368 |
| Winners | 32 | 88 |
| %Winners | 51% | 46% |
Sonego played 1 match while Kotov competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Pavel Kotov surrendered 2 sets while Lorenzo Sonego hasn’t lost a set so far. Sonego has played 4 set(s) less than Kotov (2 vs 6). Therefore, Sonego played 41 games less than Kotov. Sonego scored 32 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Pavel bagged 88 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sonego | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 8 |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 107/188 |
| %1st in | 61% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 88/107 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 34/81 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 42% |
Sonego struck 7 aces . Kotov made 16 aces (8 per match). Sonego won 78% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sonego | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 8 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 75% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Saved | 8 | 13 |
| % Saved | 100% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Sonego pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 8 break points. Kotov broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sonego | ||||
| R2 Stricker |
R3 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | – | 17 | |
| pts | 63-46 | – | 63-46 | |
| Total points | 109 | – | 109 | |
| Winners | 32 | – | 32 | |
| %Winners | 51% | – | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | – | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | – | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | – | 41/67 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | – | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | – | 32/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | – | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | – | 12/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | – | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | – | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | – | 75% | |
| Conceded | 8 | – | 8 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | – | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 0 | |
| Kotov | ||||
| R2 Muller |
R3 Svajda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 28 | 58 | |
| pts | 101-88 | 91-88 | 192-176 | |
| Total points | 189 | 179 | 368 | |
| Winners | 43 | 45 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 51/92 | 56/96 | 107/188 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 58% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 45/56 | 88/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 80% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/41 | 18/40 | 34/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 45% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 3/7 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 43% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 5/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 71% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWLL
LLLLLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Salem Open
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 1-6 7-68) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Zizou BergsBergs (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Borna CoricCoric (3-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Juncheng ShangShang (w/o) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Borna CoricCoric (3-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Zizou BergsBergs (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 1-6 7-6(8)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
