Arina Rodionova and Irina Maria Bara will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on Court 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arina Rodionova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Arina Rodionova is the pick to win this match.
Arina Rodionova -> 1.23
Irina Maria Bara -> 3.98
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Prediction and head to head Arina Rodionova vs. Irina Maria Bara
This will be the 2nd time that Arina Rodionova and Irina Maria Bara play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Maria Bara (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Maria Bara won 6-1 6-1 in the qualifications in Istanbul back in 2019.
Arina Rodionova
25 - 24win/loss
134
97
LLLWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-29 | 18-20 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 6-2 |
| 2023 | 78-27 | 40-16 | 4-4 | 22-3 | 8-3 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 18-12 | 12-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-24 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-12 | 7-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, Rodionova reached the qualifications after defeating Elsa Jacquemot 6-1 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Arina had a good straight sets win against Jacquemot (6-1 7-65). During the match, Rodionova scored 64 points vs Jacquemot’s 48. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rodionova wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Arina Rodionova lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Rodionova put 68% of her first serves in, winning 64% (23/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Jacquemot 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Rodionova has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (300-235). 14-15 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rodionova has a compiled 184-146 record in the last years on hard.
Arina’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the W100 Gifu and the W75 Kurume.
Arina has a compiled 24-24 win-loss record in 2024, 14-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Irina Maria Bara
13 - 23win/loss
260
104
LWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-30 | 2-5 | 23-21 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 1-2 | 37-17 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-7 | 21-20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-27 | 0-4 | 26-17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-11 | 1-4 | 10-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, the Romanian got to the qualifications after beating Xiaodi You 3-6 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications against You, Maria Bara recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Maria Bara scored 110 points vs You’s 104. Irina was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Maria Bara wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Irina Maria Bara lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Maria Bara put 67% of her first serves in, winning 69% (46/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke You 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Irina has a compiled 13-22 win-loss record in 2024, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2017 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rodionova | Maria Bara |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 30 |
| Pts | 64-48 | 110-104 |
| Total Points | 112 | 214 |
| Winners | 23 | 46 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Both Rodionova and Maria Bara played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Irina Maria Bara conceded 1 set while Arina Rodionova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rodionova has played 1 set(s) less than Maria Bara (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rodionova played 10 games less than Maria Bara. Arina scored 23 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Irina bagged 46 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rodionova | Maria Bara |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 67/100 |
| %1st in | 68% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 46/67 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 14/33 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 42% |
Rodionova didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Maria Bara also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rodionova won 64% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Maria Bara won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rodionova | Maria Bara |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 86% | 33% |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The Australian broke her opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Maria Bara conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rodionova | |||
| Q1 Jacquemot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 64-48 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 23/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Maria Bara | |||
| Q1 You |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 110-104 | 110-104 | |
| Total points | 214 | 214 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 67/100 | 67/100 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 46/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/33 | 14/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWWW
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