Talia Gibson and Hanna Chang will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 12. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Talia Gibson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Talia Gibson is the pick to win this match.
Talia Gibson -> 1.74
Hanna Chang -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Talia Gibson vs. Hanna Chang
This will be the 2nd time that Talia Gibson and Hanna Chang square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Chang (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Chang won 2-6 7-6(4) 7-6(1) in the 1st round in the W60+H Bendigo back in 2022.
Talia Gibson
24 - 19win/loss
126
126
LWWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-23 | 31-14 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-29 | 40-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| 2022 | 50-20 | 48-18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 172, Gibson reached the qualifications after beating Anastasia Zakharova 7-6(4) 1-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Gibson defeated Zakharova (7-64 1-6 6-3).During the match, Gibson scored less points (4) than Zakharova. In fact, the world no. 172 won 109 points vs Zakharova’s. That means that Gibson was more focused during the important points. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gibson bagged 5 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Talia Gibson lost the serve 6 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Gibson put 59% of her first serves in, winning 66% (38/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (15/40) on the 2nd serve. Talia broke Zakharova 5 times after converting 23% of her break points (5/22).
Gibson has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 62% of her matches (117-71). 10-10 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gibson has a composed101-54 record in the last 5 years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the W75 Maribor and the Novo.
Talia has an aggregate 23-19 win-loss record in 2024, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Gibson has never competed in this tournament before.
Hanna Chang
30 - 20win/loss
198
193
LWLLWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-27 | 28-19 | 6-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-26 | 37-19 | 9-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-29 | 27-18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 12-14 | 18-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-7 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 201 (career-high), Chang reached the qualifications after defeating Leolia Jeanjean 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, Chang had a good straight sets win against Jeanjean (6-1 6-3). During the match Chang scored 68 points vs Jeanjean’s 42. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Chang managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Hanna Chang lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Chang put 64% of her first serves in, winning 75% (27/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Jeanjean 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Her best result of the year was winning the title the W50 Goyang where she defeated Aoi Ito in the final 7-6(2) 6-4 and the W35 Changwon where she overcame Petra Hule in the final 6-4 6-4.
The American has an aggregate 30-19 win-loss record in 2024, 23-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gibson | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 |
| Pts | 109-113 | 68-42 |
| Total Points | 222 | 110 |
| Winners | 38 | 27 |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% |
Both Gibson and Chang played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Talia Gibson conceded 1 set while Hanna Chang hasn’t lost a set so far. Gibson has played 1 set more than Chang (3 vs 2). Therefore, Gibson played 13 games more than Chang. Gibson scored 38 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Hanna made 27 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gibson | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 58/98 | 36/56 |
| %1st in | 59% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 27/36 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 15/40 | 10/20 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 50% |
Gibson blasted 5 aces . Chang made 7 aces . Gibson won 66% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Chang won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gibson | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/22 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 23% | 56% |
| Conceded | 14 | 5 |
| Saved | 8 | 4 |
| % Saved | 57% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
Talia broke her opponent 5 times with a 23% conversion rate. Talia surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Hanna broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Chang conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gibson | |||
| Q1 Zakharova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 109-113 | 109-113 | |
| Total points | 222 | 222 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 58/98 | 58/98 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 38/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/40 | 15/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/22 | 5/22 | |
| Converted % | 23% | 23% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 8/14 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Chang | |||
| Q1 Jeanjean |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 68-42 | 68-42 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 36/56 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 27/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
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