Yan Bai and Ye Cong Mo will square off in the 2nd round of the Jinan Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yan Bai who should win in 2 sets.
Yan Bai -> 1.31
Ye Cong Mo -> 3.25
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Prediction and head to head Yan Bai vs. Ye Cong Mo
This will be the 4th time that Yan Bai and Ye Cong Mo face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Bai (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Cong won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the semifinal in M25 Luan back in May 2024.
Yan Bai
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 39-10 | 35-9 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-16 | 42-13 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 277, Yan got to the 2nd round after defeating Evgeny Donskoy 6-2 7-6(6).
In the 1st round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Donskoy (6-2 7-66). During the match, Bai scored 76 points vs Donskoy’s 68. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bai bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Yan Bai lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bai put 58% of his first serves in, winning 81% (34/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (11/31) on the 2nd serve. Bai broke Donskoy 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Bai has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (293-147). 35-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bai has an aggregate 234-108 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Chinese’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Hinode,M25 Anning,M25 Luzhou,M25 Tianjin and M25 Yinchuan.
Yan has a composed 39-10 win-loss record in 2024, 35-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Ye Cong Mo
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 18-16 | 15-14 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 39-20 | 36-18 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 29-9 | 29-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 712, Ye got to the 2nd round after beating Renlong Pang 6-1 6-2, Egor Agafonov 6-3 6-7(4) 6-3 and Makoto Ochi 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, Ye had a good straight sets win against Ochi (6-2 6-3). During the match Cong scored 64 points vs Ochi’s 50. Cong was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Cong made 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ye Cong Mo was quite effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Ochi 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
The Chinese’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Luan.
Ye has an overall 18-16 win-loss record in 2024, 15-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Bai | Cong |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 3 |
Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
Tot Games | 21 | 63 |
Pts | 76-68 | 226-170 |
Total Points | 144 | 396 |
Winners | 34 | 93 |
%Winners | 45% | 41% |
Bai played 1 match while Cong competed in 3 matches. Cong started his run from the qualifications while Bai had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Ye Cong Mo surrendered 1 set while Yan Bai hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Bai has played 5 set(s) less than Cong (2 vs 7). Therefore, Bai played 42 games less than Cong. The Chinese scored 34 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Ye fired 93 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Bai | Cong |
---|---|---|
Aces | 2 | 13 |
Avg per match | 2 | 4.3 |
1st in | 42/73 | 121/198 |
%1st in | 58% | 61% |
1st pts | 34/42 | 93/121 |
%1st pts | 81% | 77% |
2nd pts | 11/31 | 43/77 |
%2nd pts | 35% | 56% |
Bai struck 2 aces . Cong struck 13 aces (4.3 per match). Bai won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Cong won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Bai | Cong |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 14 |
Converted | 4/13 | 14/28 |
% Converted | 31% | 50% |
Conceded | 5 | 13 |
Saved | 3 | 10 |
% Saved | 60% | 77% |
Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Chinese broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Yan conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
Bai | |||
R1 Donskoy | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 7-66 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
pts | 76-68 | 76-68 | |
Total points | 144 | 144 | |
Winners | 34 | 34 | |
%Winners | 45% | 45% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 2 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
1st in | 42/73 | 42/73 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
1st pts | 34/42 | 34/42 | |
% 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
2nd pts | 11/31 | 11/31 | |
% 2nd pts | 35% | 35% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Cong | |||||
Q1 Pang | Q3 Agafonov | R1 Ochi | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-74 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
Tot Games | 15 | 31 | 17 | 63 | |
pts | 61-35 | 101-85 | 64-50 | 226-170 | |
Total points | 96 | 186 | 114 | 396 | |
Winners | 26 | 39 | 28 | 93 | |
%Winners | 43% | 39% | 44% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 | |
1st in | 31/44 | 52/94 | 38/60 | 121/198 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 55% | 63% | 61% | |
1st pts | 26/31 | 39/52 | 28/38 | 93/121 | |
% 1st pts | 84% | 75% | 74% | 77% | |
2nd pts | 8/13 | 22/42 | 13/22 | 43/77 | |
% 2nd pts | 62% | 52% | 59% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Converted | 4/12 | 7/10 | 3/6 | 14/28 | |
Converted % | 33% | 70% | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 0 | 11 | 2 | 13 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 8/11 | 2/2 | 10 | |
Saved % | – | 73% | 100% | 173% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Tennis Scores in Jinan Challenger
- Philip HenningPhilip – Sanhui ShinSanhui (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yibing WuWu – Tung-Lin WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aidan MchughMchugh – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ye Cong MoCong Mo – Yan BaiBai (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Keegan SmithSmith – Ji Sung NamSung Nam (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Woobin ShinShin – Ajeet RaiRai (0-0) – H2H and prediction