Rio Noguchi and Aidan Mchugh will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Jinan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:30 am on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mchugh who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aidan Mchugh is the pick to win this match.
Aidan Mchugh -> 1.71
Rio Noguchi -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Aidan Mchugh

There is no head to head record between Rio Noguchi and Aidan Mchugh since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 333, Noguchi got to the 2^nd round after beating Bogdan Bobrov 7-5 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Bobrov (7-5 6-4). During the match, Noguchi scored 75 points vs Bobrov’s 60. Noguchi was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Rio Noguchi was quite effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Bobrov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Noguchi has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (315-218). 22-14 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Noguchi has an overall210-132 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Rio’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Swan Hill.

The Japanese has an overall 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 22-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

Rio has never competed in this tournament before.

Aidan Mchugh

Ranked no. 397, Aidan got to the 2^nd round after beating Kris Van Wyk 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Van Wyk (7-6³ 6-4). During the match Mchugh scored 84 points vs Van Wyk’s 72. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Mchugh managed to score 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Aidan Mchugh was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Van Wyk once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).

The Brit’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 East Lansing.

The Brit has a compiled 25-22 win-loss record in 2024, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Mchugh
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	23
Pts	75-60	84-72
Total Points	135	156
Winners	36	36
%Winners	48%	43%

Both Noguchi and Mchugh played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Noguchi and Mchugh have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Noguchi played 1 game less than Mchugh. The Japanese scored 36 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 36 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Mchugh
Aces	1	2
Avg per match	1	2
1st in	45/63	45/71
%1st in	71%	63%
1st pts	36/45	36/45
%1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	10/18	18/26
%2nd pts	56%	69%

Noguchi scored 1 ace . Mchugh also blasted 2 aces . Noguchi won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mchugh won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Mchugh
Won	3	1
Converted	3/8	1/9
% Converted	38%	11%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4	5
% Saved	80%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Rio lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Aidan broke his opponent once with a 11% conversion rate. Mchugh was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.

Noguchi
	R1 Bobrov	Total
Score	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	75-60	75-60
Total points	135	135
Winners	36	36
%Winners	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	45/63	45/63
% 1st in	71%	71%
1st pts	36/45	36/45
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	10/18	10/18
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Mchugh
	R1 Van	Total
Score	7-63 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	23	23
pts	84-72	84-72
Total points	156	156
Winners	36	36
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	45/71	45/71
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	36/45	36/45
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	18/26	18/26
% 2nd pts	69%	69%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/9	1/9
Converted %	11%	11%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	5/5	5
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Jinan Challenger

• Philip HenningPhilip – Sanhui ShinSanhui (6-2 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yibing WuWu – Tung-Lin WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aidan MchughMchugh – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ye Cong MoCong Mo – Yan BaiBai (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Keegan SmithSmith – Ji Sung NamSung Nam (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Philip HenningHenning – Sanhui ShinShin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Woobin ShinShin – Ajeet RaiRai (0-0) – H2H and prediction