Jannik Sinner and Frances Tiafoe will fight against each other in the final of the Western & Southern Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.31
Frances Tiafoe -> 3.58

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Frances Tiafoe face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Vienna back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe – Vienna 27-October-2023

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

48 - 5win/loss

Hard
23-2
I Hard
5-0
Clay
11-2
Grass
9-1
Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 73-6 40-3 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Alex Michelsen 6-4 7-5, Jordan Thompson w/o, Andrey Rublev 4-6 7-5 6-4 and Alexander Zverev 7-6(9) 5-7 7-6(4).

In the semifinal, Sinner defeated Zverev (7-69 5-7 7-64). During the match, Sinner scored 124 points vs Zverev’s 121. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (51/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (29/45) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Zverev twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (320-118). 22-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed120-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2).

The Italian has an aggregate 47-5 win-loss record in 2024, 22-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Sinner's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

24 - 20win/loss

Hard
15-10
I Hard
1-1
Clay
5-6
Grass
3-3
Rank
18
High
10
LLWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
2020 19-15 7-9 6-3 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 27, Francis got to the final after defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-6(6), Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2, Jiri Lehecka 6-4 6-7(10) 7-6(5), Hubert Hurkacz 6-3 ret.

and Holger Rune 4-6 6-1 7-6(4).

In the semifinal against Rune, Tiafoe recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-64). During the match Tiafoe scored 98 points vs Rune’s 83. Tiafoe was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Tiafoe managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 61% (28/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Francis broke Rune 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francis has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Francis’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Houston.

The American has an aggregate 24-19 win-loss record in 2024, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017. See his history.

Cincinnati
Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
F.Tiafoe
7h:24
7h:24
Time on court​
8h:36
8h:36
!
3h:07
3h:07
Last match​
!
2h:08
2h:08
3
3
Match played
!
5
5
92
92
Games Played​
114
114
8
8
Set played​​
12
12
321
321
Total points​
399
399
107
107
Avg point​
79.8
79.8
118
118
Winners
141
141
39.3
39.3
Avg Winners​
28.2
28.2
37%
37%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
31
31
Aces
36
36
!
10.3
10.3
Avg Aces
7.2
7.2
10
10
Double Faults
11
11
3.3
3.3
Avg Double Faults
2.2
2.2
118/158
118/158
1st won total​
141/176
141/176
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
74/133
74/133
2nd won total​
101/169
101/169
56%
56%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
10/25
10/25
BP won
15/44
15/44
3.3/8.3
3.3/8.3
Avg BP won
3/8.8
3/8.8
40%
40%
Won
34%
34%
22
22
Conceded
18
18
7.3
7.3
Avg Conceded
3.6
3.6
8
8
Broken
5
5
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
1
1
14
14
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Tiafoe
Match played 3 5
Tot Set 8 12
Tot Games 92 114
Pts 321-295 399-336
Total Points 616 735
Winners 118 141
%Winners 37% 35%

Sinner played 3 matches while Tiafoe competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner surrendered 2 sets, while Frances Tiafoe conceded 2 sets. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than Tiafoe (8 vs 12). Therefore, Sinner played 22 games less than Tiafoe. Sinner scored 118 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 141 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Tiafoe
Aces 31 36
Avg per match 10.3 7.2
1st in 158/291 176/345
%1st in 54% 51%
1st pts 118/158 141/176
%1st pts 75% 80%
2nd pts 74/133 101/169
%2nd pts 56% 60%

Sinner struck 31 aces (10.3 per match). Tiafoe blasted 36 aces (7.2 per match). Sinner won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Tiafoe
Won 10 15
Converted 10/25 15/44
% Converted 40% 34%
Conceded 22 18
Saved 14 13
% Saved 64% 72%
Times Broken 8 5

Sinner broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 15 times with a 34% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R2
Michelsen
R3
Thompson
1/4
Rublev
1/2
Zverev
Total
Score 6-4 7-5 w/o 4-6 7-5 6-4 7-69 5-7 7-64
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 22 32 38 92
pts 86-73 111-101 124-121 321-295
Total points 159 212 245 616
Winners 31 36 51 118
%Winners 36% 32% 41% 37%
SERVE
Aces 9 10 12 31
Double Faults 4 5 1 10
1st in 42/83 43/90 73/118 158/291
% 1st in 51% 48% 62% 54%
1st pts 31/42 36/43 51/73 118/158
% 1st pts 74% 84% 70% 75%
2nd pts 25/41 20/47 29/45 74/133
% 2nd pts 61% 43% 64% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 6 2 10
Converted 2/5 6/16 2/4 10/25
Converted % 40% 38% 50% 40%
Conceded 8 9 5 22
Saved 8/8 4/9 2/5 14
Saved % 100% 44% 40% 46%
Times Broken 0 5 3 8
Tiafoe
R1
Davidovich Fokina
R2
Musetti
R3
Lehecka
1/4
Hurkacz
1/2
Rune
Total
Score 6-3 7-66 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-710 7-65 6-3 ret. 4-6 6-1 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 3 1 3 11
Tot Games 22 17 36 9 30 114
pts 82-70 61-40 129-121 29-22 98-83 399-336
Total points 152 101 250 51 181 735
Winners 20 26 47 12 36 141
%Winners 24% 43% 36% 41% 37% 35%
SERVE
Aces 6 2 11 4 13 36
Double Faults 3 1 6 0 1 11
1st in 26/67 31/41 58/120 15/25 46/92 176/345
% 1st in 39% 76% 48% 60% 50% 51%
1st pts 20/26 26/31 47/58 12/15 36/46 141/176
% 1st pts 77% 84% 81% 80% 78% 80%
2nd pts 23/41 6/10 38/62 6/10 28/46 101/169
% 2nd pts 56% 60% 61% 60% 61% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4 2 2 3 15
Converted 4/14 4/12 2/8 2/4 3/6 15/44
Converted % 29% 33% 25% 50% 50% 34%
Conceded 3 0 7 2 6 18
Saved 1/3 0/0 6/7 2/2 4/6 13
Saved % 33% 86% 100% 67% 72%
Times Broken 2 0 1 0 2 5

Upcoming matches in the draw