Holger Rune and Frances Tiafoe will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Western & Southern Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.63
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Frances Tiafoe
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Frances Tiafoe since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
33 - 17win/loss
13
4
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Rune got to the semifinal after beating Matteo Berrettini 2-6 6-1 6-4, Nuno Borges 6-3 7-6(8), Gael Monfils 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Jack Draper 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Draper (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 57 points vs Draper’s 48. Holger was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dane was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Draper 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (239-122). 16-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has an aggregate46-36 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Holger’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Brisbane.
Holger has a composed 33-16 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Frances Tiafoe
24 - 19win/loss
18
10
LLWLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-6(6), Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2, Jiri Lehecka 6-4 6-7(10) 7-6(5) and Hubert Hurkacz 6-3 ret..
In the quarter against Hurkacz, the American had a free pass after Hurkacz retired on a 6-3 . scoreline.
Francis’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Houston.
Francis has an aggregate 23-19 win-loss record in 2024, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 84 |
| Pts | 289-269 | 301-253 |
| Total Points | 558 | 554 |
| Winners | 109 | 105 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Both Rune and Tiafoe played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune surrendered 2 sets, while Frances Tiafoe lost 1 set. Rune has played 1 set more than Tiafoe (10 vs 9). Therefore, Rune played 9 games more than Tiafoe. The Dane scored 109 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Francis bagged 105 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 155/284 | 130/253 |
| %1st in | 55% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 109/155 | 105/130 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 80/129 | 73/123 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 59% |
Rune blasted 12 aces (3 per match). Tiafoe fired 23 aces (5.8 per match). Rune won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/21 | 12/38 |
| % Converted | 57% | 32% |
| Conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Saved | 10 | 9 |
| % Saved | 63% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Holger broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Dane dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Tiafoe broke his opponents 12 times with a 32% conversion rate. Francis conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||||
| R1 Berrettini |
R2 Borges |
R3 Monfils |
1/4 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-68 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 | 28 | 18 | 93 | |
| pts | 70-70 | 77-70 | 85-81 | 57-48 | 289-269 | |
| Total points | 140 | 147 | 166 | 105 | 558 | |
| Winners | 26 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 31% | 41% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/68 | 33/65 | 50/93 | 30/58 | 155/284 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 51% | 54% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 24/33 | 35/50 | 24/30 | 109/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 73% | 70% | 80% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 19/32 | 29/43 | 16/28 | 80/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 59% | 67% | 57% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 67% | 100% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0/2 | 7/8 | 3/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 88% | 100% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Tiafoe | ||||||
| R1 Davidovich Fokina |
R2 Musetti |
R3 Lehecka |
1/4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-66 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-710 7-65 | 6-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 36 | 9 | 84 | |
| pts | 82-70 | 61-40 | 129-121 | 29-22 | 301-253 | |
| Total points | 152 | 101 | 250 | 51 | 554 | |
| Winners | 20 | 26 | 47 | 12 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 26/67 | 31/41 | 58/120 | 15/25 | 130/253 | |
| % 1st in | 39% | 76% | 48% | 60% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 26/31 | 47/58 | 12/15 | 105/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 84% | 81% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/41 | 6/10 | 38/62 | 6/10 | 73/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 60% | 61% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/12 | 2/8 | 2/4 | 12/38 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 2/2 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 86% | 100% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWL
LLWLWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Jamie MurrayDodig/Jamie Murray – Arthur Fils/Nicolas JarryFils/Nicolas Jarry (2-6 7-65 10-6) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Jack DraperDraper (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McDonald/Alex MichelsenMcDonald/Alex Michelsen – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (6-3 5-7 11-9) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-6(3) 7-5) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Jack DraperDraper (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
