Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on P&G Grandstand. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.31
Liudmila Samsonova -> 3.46

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Liudmila Samsonova

This will be the 4^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Samsonova won 7-6(2) 4-6 6-3 in the 3^rd round in Montreal back in 2023.

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 3, the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 6-4 and Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (7-5 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Svitolina’s 48. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 74% (26/35) of her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Svitolina 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (354-165). 20-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled209-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Aryna has a composed 36-11 win-loss record in 2024, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Liudmila Samsonova

Ranked no. 17, Ludmilla got to the quarter after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-4 6-4, Magda Linette 7-6(10) 6-1 and Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-3.

In the 3^rd round against Avanesyan, Samsonova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 6-3). During the match Samsonova scored 88 points vs Avanesyan’s 72. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Samsonova made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 56% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Avanesyan 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Samsonova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.

The Russian has a compiled 23-18 win-loss record in 2024, 9-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1^st

round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Samsonova
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	7
Tot Games	39	65
Pts	142-106	234-192
Total Points	248	426
Winners	60	80
%Winners	42%	34%

Sabalenka played 2 matches while Samsonova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Samsonova (4 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 26 games less than Samsonova. Aryna scored 60 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla managed to score 80 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Samsonova
Aces	10	13
Avg per match	5	4.3
1st in	73/118	107/220
%1st in	62%	49%
1st pts	60/73	80/107
%1st pts	82%	75%
2nd pts	25/45	63/113
%2nd pts	56%	56%

Sabalenka struck 10 aces (5 per match). Samsonova fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sabalenka won 82% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Samsonova
Won	6	12
Converted	6/14	12/25
% Converted	43%	48%
Conceded	8	16
Saved	7	11
% Saved	88%	69%
Times Broken	1	5

The Belarussian broke her opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve once and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Cocciaretto	R3 Svitolina	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	20	39
pts	75-58	67-48	142-106
Total points	133	115	248
Winners	34	26	60
%Winners	45%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	10
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	38/61	35/57	73/118
% 1st in	62%	61%	62%
1st pts	34/38	26/35	60/73
% 1st pts	89%	74%	82%
2nd pts	11/23	14/22	25/45
% 2nd pts	48%	64%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/10	4/4	6/14
Converted %	20%	100%	43%
Conceded	3	5	8
Saved	3/3	4/5	7
Saved %	100%	80%	90%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Samsonova
	R1 Wang	R2 Linette	R3 Avanesyan	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	7-610 6-1	4-6 6-0 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	20	20	25	65
pts	68-57	78-63	88-72	234-192
Total points	125	141	160	426
Winners	19	28	33	80
%Winners	28%	36%	38%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	9	2	13
Double Faults	6	4	2	12
1st in	25/60	32/71	50/89	107/220
% 1st in	42%	45%	56%	49%
1st pts	19/25	28/32	33/50	80/107
% 1st pts	76%	88%	66%	75%
2nd pts	16/35	25/39	22/39	63/113
% 2nd pts	46%	64%	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	2	5	12
Converted	5/8	2/4	5/13	12/25
Converted %	63%	50%	38%	48%
Conceded	7	5	4	16
Saved	4/7	5/5	2/4	11
Saved %	57%	100%	50%	104%
Times Broken	3	0	2	5

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Stephan GerritsenGerritsen – Benjamin DhoeDhoe (3-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marvin MoellerMoeller – Franco Emanuel EgeaEmanuel Egea (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Clement GeensGeens – Stephan FransenFransen (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Andrew WatsonWatson (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction