Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on P&G Grandstand. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.31
Liudmila Samsonova -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Samsonova won 7-6(2) 4-6 6-3 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2023.
Aryna Sabalenka
36 - 11win/loss
3
1
WWLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-11 | 20-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 6-4 and Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (7-5 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Svitolina’s 48. Aryna was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 74% (26/35) of her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Svitolina 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (354-165). 20-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled209-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Aryna has a composed 36-11 win-loss record in 2024, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Liudmila Samsonova
23 - 18win/loss
17
12
WWWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-18 | 9-10 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Ludmilla got to the quarter after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-4 6-4, Magda Linette 7-6(10) 6-1 and Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Avanesyan, Samsonova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 6-3). During the match Samsonova scored 88 points vs Avanesyan’s 72. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Samsonova made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 56% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Avanesyan 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.
The Russian has a compiled 23-18 win-loss record in 2024, 9-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 65 |
| Pts | 142-106 | 234-192 |
| Total Points | 248 | 426 |
| Winners | 60 | 80 |
| %Winners | 42% | 34% |
Sabalenka played 2 matches while Samsonova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Samsonova (4 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 26 games less than Samsonova. Aryna scored 60 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla managed to score 80 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 73/118 | 107/220 |
| %1st in | 62% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 60/73 | 80/107 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 25/45 | 63/113 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Sabalenka struck 10 aces (5 per match). Samsonova fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sabalenka won 82% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 12 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Saved | 7 | 11 |
| % Saved | 88% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve once and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Cocciaretto |
R3 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 67-48 | 142-106 | |
| Total points | 133 | 115 | 248 | |
| Winners | 34 | 26 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 38/61 | 35/57 | 73/118 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 26/35 | 60/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 74% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 14/22 | 25/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 64% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 4/4 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 100% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Samsonova | |||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Linette |
R3 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-610 6-1 | 4-6 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 25 | 65 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 78-63 | 88-72 | 234-192 | |
| Total points | 125 | 141 | 160 | 426 | |
| Winners | 19 | 28 | 33 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 36% | 38% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 9 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 25/60 | 32/71 | 50/89 | 107/220 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 45% | 56% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 28/32 | 33/50 | 80/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 88% | 66% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 25/39 | 22/39 | 63/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 64% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/4 | 5/13 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 38% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 5/5 | 2/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 100% | 50% | 104% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWWLW
WWWLWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Stephan GerritsenGerritsen – Benjamin DhoeDhoe (3-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marvin MoellerMoeller – Franco Emanuel EgeaEmanuel Egea (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clement GeensGeens – Stephan FransenFransen (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Andrew WatsonWatson (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
