Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina will play each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on P&G GRANDSTAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.44
Elina Svitolina -> 2.8

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina

This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 4-6 6-1 7-6(7) in the 4th round in Rome back in May 2024.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina – Rome 13-May-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

36 - 11win/loss

Hard
20-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-4
Grass
1-1
Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 3, Sabalenka reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Cocciaretto (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 75 points vs Cocciaretto’s 58. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 89% (34/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Cocciaretto twice after converting 20% of her break points (2/10).

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (353-165). 19-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall208-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Sabalenka has an aggregate 35-11 win-loss record in 2024, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Sabalenka's Record

Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina

27 - 16win/loss

Hard
13-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
10-7
Grass
4-2
Rank
23
High
3
LWWLWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2020 21-9 9-5 10-2 2-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 30, Elina reached the 3rd round after defeating Yafan Wang 5-7 6-3 6-2 and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-4 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Elina had a good straight sets win against Bouzas Maneiro (6-4 6-1). During the match Svitolina scored 63 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 42. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.

About the serving games, Svitolina blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 52% of her first serves in, winning 64% (18/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. Svitolina broke Bouzas Maneiro 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Auckland.

The Ukrainian has an overall 27-15 win-loss record in 2024, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2015. See her history.

Cincinnati
Svitolina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
E.Svitolina
1h:38
1h:38
Time on court​
!
3h:19
3h:19
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
46
46
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
75
75
Total points​
154
154
75
75
Avg point​
77
77
34
34
Winners
52
52
34
34
Avg Winners​
26
26
45%
45%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
11
11
5
5
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
34/38
34/38
1st won total​
52/75
52/75
!
89%
89%
1st won %
69%
69%
11/23
11/23
2nd won total​
45/75
45/75
48%
48%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
2/10
2/10
BP won
9/16
9/16
2/10
2/10
Avg BP won
4.5/8
4.5/8
!
20%
20%
Won
!
56%
56%
3
3
Conceded
11
11
3
3
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
0
0
Broken
4
4
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
3
3
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Svitolina
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 19 46
Pts 75-58 154-122
Total Points 133 276
Winners 34 52
%Winners 45% 34%

Sabalenka played 1 match while Svitolina competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Svitolina (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 27 games less than Svitolina. Sabalenka scored 34 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Elina blasted 52 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Svitolina
Aces 5 11
Avg per match 5 5.5
1st in 38/61 75/150
%1st in 62% 50%
1st pts 34/38 52/75
%1st pts 89% 69%
2nd pts 11/23 45/75
%2nd pts 48% 60%

Sabalenka scored 5 aces . Svitolina blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Sabalenka won 89% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Svitolina
Won 2 9
Converted 2/10 9/16
% Converted 20% 56%
Conceded 3 11
Saved 3 7
% Saved 100% 64%
Times Broken 0 4

Sabalenka broke her opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Aryna had a solid display on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R2
Cocciaretto		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 75-58 75-58
Total points 133 133
Winners 34 34
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 38/61 38/61
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 34/38 34/38
% 1st pts 89% 89%
2nd pts 11/23 11/23
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/10 2/10
Converted % 20% 20%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Svitolina
R1
Wang		 R2
Bouzas		 Total
Score 5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 17 46
pts 91-80 63-42 154-122
Total points 171 105 276
Winners 34 18 52
%Winners 37% 29% 34%
SERVE
Aces 9 2 11
Double Faults 5 1 6
1st in 47/96 28/54 75/150
% 1st in 49% 52% 50%
1st pts 34/47 18/28 52/75
% 1st pts 72% 64% 69%
2nd pts 29/49 16/26 45/75
% 2nd pts 59% 62% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/5 5/11 9/16
Converted % 80% 45% 56%
Conceded 8 3 11
Saved 6/8 1/3 7
Saved % 75% 33% 108%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sabalenka
More Stats
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Svitolina

Click for FULL STATS