Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina will play each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on P&G GRANDSTAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.44
Elina Svitolina -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 4-6 6-1 7-6(7) in the 4th round in Rome back in May 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina – Rome 13-May-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
35 - 11win/loss
3
1
WLWWLWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-11 | 19-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Sabalenka reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Cocciaretto (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 75 points vs Cocciaretto’s 58. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 89% (34/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Cocciaretto twice after converting 20% of her break points (2/10).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (353-165). 19-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall208-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 35-11 win-loss record in 2024, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Elina Svitolina
27 - 15win/loss
30
3
WWLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-15 | 13-6 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-9 | 9-5 | 10-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Elina reached the 3rd round after defeating Yafan Wang 5-7 6-3 6-2 and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Elina had a good straight sets win against Bouzas Maneiro (6-4 6-1). During the match Svitolina scored 63 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 42. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
About the serving games, Svitolina blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 52% of her first serves in, winning 64% (18/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. Svitolina broke Bouzas Maneiro 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Auckland.
The Ukrainian has an overall 27-15 win-loss record in 2024, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2015. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 46 |
| Pts | 75-58 | 154-122 |
| Total Points | 133 | 276 |
| Winners | 34 | 52 |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Svitolina competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Svitolina (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 27 games less than Svitolina. Sabalenka scored 34 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Elina blasted 52 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 38/61 | 75/150 |
| %1st in | 62% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 52/75 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 45/75 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 60% |
Sabalenka scored 5 aces . Svitolina blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Sabalenka won 89% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/10 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 20% | 56% |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Aryna had a solid display on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Cocciaretto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 75-58 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/61 | 38/61 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 34/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 11/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 2/10 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Svitolina | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Bouzas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 17 | 46 | |
| pts | 91-80 | 63-42 | 154-122 | |
| Total points | 171 | 105 | 276 | |
| Winners | 34 | 18 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 29% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/96 | 28/54 | 75/150 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 52% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 18/28 | 52/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 64% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/49 | 16/26 | 45/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 62% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/11 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 45% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 108% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWLWL
WWLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Magda LinetteLinette (7-610 6-1) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Cori GauffGauff (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-1 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Elena RybakinaRybakina (3-6 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-0 6-78 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Lulu SunSun (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Stephan GerritsenGerritsen – Ryan NijboerNijboer (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Marvin MoellerMoeller – Mats HermansHermans (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Clement GeensGeens – Luca GelhardtGelhardt (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Stephan FransenFransen – Marc GinerGiner (6-74 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Guy Den HeijerDen Heijer (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Franco Emanuel EgeaEmanuel Egea – Bart StevensStevens (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Benjamin DhoeDhoe – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-1 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Cori GauffGauff (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Magdalena FrechFrech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (7-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (3-1) – H2H and prediction
