Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Holcim Stadium 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.49
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rublev won 6-2 6-2 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in August 2024.
Andrey Rublev
33 - 16win/loss
6
5
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 33-16 | 20-7 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Rublev reached the 3rd round after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-4 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 61 points vs Zhang’s 43. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 10 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Andrey broke Zhang twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (423-236). 20-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an overall 173-89 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Andrey has an overall 33-16 win-loss record in 2024, 20-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Brandon Nakashima
51 - 23win/loss
49
43
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 51-23 | 18-7 | 13-7 | 11-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 49, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Taylor Fritz 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) and Arthur Fils 7-5 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Fils (7-5 7-63). During the match Nakashima scored 84 points vs Fils’s 81. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima bagged 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 64% of his first serves in, winning 79% (46/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Brandon was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Fils once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
The American has an aggregate 51-23 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021, 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Rublev | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
Tot Games | 19 | 58 |
Pts | 61-43 | 180-178 |
Total Points | 104 | 358 |
Winners | 29 | 98 |
%Winners | 48% | 54% |
Rublev played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima dropped 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 39 games less than Nakashima. The Russian scored 29 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 98 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Rublev | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Aces | 10 | 30 |
Avg per match | 10 | 15 |
1st in | 34/49 | 125/191 |
%1st in | 69% | 65% |
1st pts | 29/34 | 98/125 |
%1st pts | 85% | 78% |
2nd pts | 11/15 | 37/66 |
%2nd pts | 73% | 56% |
Rublev struck 10 aces . Nakashima bagged 30 aces (15 per match). Rublev won 85% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Rublev | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Won | 2 | 2 |
Converted | 2/3 | 2/7 |
% Converted | 67% | 29% |
Conceded | 0 | 11 |
Saved | 0 | 10 |
% Saved | 0% | 91% |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The American broke his opponents twice with a 29% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.
Rublev | |||
R2 Zhang | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
pts | 61-43 | 61-43 | |
Total points | 104 | 104 | |
Winners | 29 | 29 | |
%Winners | 48% | 48% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 10 | 10 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 34/49 | 34/49 | |
% 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
1st pts | 29/34 | 29/34 | |
% 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
% 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
Saved % | – | 0% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Nakashima | ||||
R1 Fritz | R2 Fils | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 4-6 7-64 | 7-5 7-63 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 33 | 25 | 58 | |
pts | 96-97 | 84-81 | 180-178 | |
Total points | 193 | 165 | 358 | |
Winners | 52 | 46 | 98 | |
%Winners | 54% | 55% | 54% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 15 | 15 | 30 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
1st in | 67/101 | 58/90 | 125/191 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 64% | 65% | |
1st pts | 52/67 | 46/58 | 98/125 | |
% 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 21/34 | 16/32 | 37/66 | |
% 2nd pts | 62% | 50% | 56% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Converted | 1/6 | 1/1 | 2/7 | |
Converted % | 17% | 100% | 29% | |
Conceded | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Saved | 4/5 | 6/6 | 10 | |
Saved % | 80% | 100% | 180% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-6 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Arthur Fils/Nicolas JarryFils/Nicolas Jarry – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-4 6-75 10-8) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-76 7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-64 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 7-63) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-7(6) 7-6(7) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 7-6(8)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction