Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Holcim Stadium 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.49
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.625

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Rublev won 6-2 6-2 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in August 2024.

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

33 - 16win/loss

Hard
20-7
I Hard
2-1
Clay
11-6
Grass
0-2
Rank
6
High
5
WLWWWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-16 20-7 11-6 2-1 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 6, Rublev reached the 3rd round after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-4 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 61 points vs Zhang’s 43. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 10 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Andrey broke Zhang twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (423-236). 20-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an overall 173-89 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Andrey has an overall 33-16 win-loss record in 2024, 20-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Rublev's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

51 - 23win/loss

Hard
18-7
I Hard
11-4
Clay
13-7
Grass
9-5
Rank
49
High
43
WWLWWWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-23 18-7 13-7 11-4 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
2020 28-14 19-6 4-4 5-3 0-0 0-1
See all years

Ranked no. 49, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Taylor Fritz 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) and Arthur Fils 7-5 7-6(3).

In the 2nd round, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Fils (7-5 7-63). During the match Nakashima scored 84 points vs Fils’s 81. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima bagged 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 64% of his first serves in, winning 79% (46/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Brandon was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Fils once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nakashima has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

The American has an aggregate 51-23 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021, 2022 and 2023. See his history.

Cincinnati
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Rublev
B.Nakashima
1h:00
1h:00
Time on court​
!
4h:06
4h:06
1h:00
1h:00
Last match​
1h:49
1h:49
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
58
58
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
61
61
Total points​
180
180
61
61
Avg point​
90
90
29
29
Winners
98
98
29
29
Avg Winners​
49
49
48%
48%
Ratio winners
54%
54%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
30
30
10
10
Avg Aces
!
15
15
0
0
Double Faults
3
3
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
29/34
29/34
1st won total​
98/125
98/125
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
11/15
11/15
2nd won total​
37/66
37/66
!
73%
73%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
2/3
2/3
BP won
2/7
2/7
2/3
2/3
Avg BP won
1/3.5
1/3.5
!
67%
67%
Won
!
29%
29%
0
0
Conceded
11
11
0
0
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
0
0
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Nakashima
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 19 58
Pts 61-43 180-178
Total Points 104 358
Winners 29 98
%Winners 48% 54%

Rublev played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima dropped 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 39 games less than Nakashima. The Russian scored 29 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 98 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Nakashima
Aces 10 30
Avg per match 10 15
1st in 34/49 125/191
%1st in 69% 65%
1st pts 29/34 98/125
%1st pts 85% 78%
2nd pts 11/15 37/66
%2nd pts 73% 56%

Rublev struck 10 aces . Nakashima bagged 30 aces (15 per match). Rublev won 85% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Nakashima
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/7
% Converted 67% 29%
Conceded 0 11
Saved 0 10
% Saved 0% 91%
Times Broken 0 1

The Russian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The American broke his opponents twice with a 29% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R2
Zhang		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 61-43 61-43
Total points 104 104
Winners 29 29
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 34/49 34/49
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 29/34 29/34
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 11/15 11/15
% 2nd pts 73% 73%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/3
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % – 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Nakashima
R1
Fritz		 R2
Fils		 Total
Score 6-4 4-6 7-64 7-5 7-63
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 33 25 58
pts 96-97 84-81 180-178
Total points 193 165 358
Winners 52 46 98
%Winners 54% 55% 54%
SERVE
Aces 15 15 30
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 67/101 58/90 125/191
% 1st in 66% 64% 65%
1st pts 52/67 46/58 98/125
% 1st pts 78% 79% 78%
2nd pts 21/34 16/32 37/66
% 2nd pts 62% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 1 1 2
Converted 1/6 1/1 2/7
Converted % 17% 100% 29%
Conceded 5 6 11
Saved 4/5 6/6 10
Saved % 80% 100% 180%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rublev
More Stats
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Nakashima

Click for FULL STATS