Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on P&G Grandstand. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.144
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 5.65

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 4th time that Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Zverev won 6-2 7-5 in the 3rd round in Monte carlo back in 2022.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Monte carlo 14-April-2022

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

50 - 15win/loss

Hard
21-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
23-6
Grass
6-2
Rank
4
High
2
WLWWLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 50-15 21-7 23-6 0-0 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0
2020 28-11 12-7 3-1 13-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4, the German got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-3 6-2). During the match, Zverev scored 63 points vs Khachanov’s 46. Zverev was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. Zverev broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Zverev has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (464-196). 21-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an aggregate 184-82 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he beat Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.

The German has an aggregate 50-15 win-loss record in 2024, 21-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Zverev's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

4 - 5win/loss

Hard
3-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-3
Grass
0-1
Rank
513
High
10
WWLWLLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 4-5 3-1 1-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-5 4-2 7-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 513, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after beating Sebastian Korda 7-5 6-1 and Max Purcell 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Purcell (6-3 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 53 points vs Purcell’s 35. Carreno-Busta was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta recorded 11 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carreno-Busta broke Purcell 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Pablo has a compiled 4-5 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2018 and 2021. See his history.

Cincinnati
Carreno-Busta's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Zverev
P.Carreno-Busta
1h:21
1h:21
Time on court​
!
2h:23
2h:23
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:06
1h:06
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
17
17
Games Played​
37
37
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
63
63
Total points​
117
117
63
63
Avg point​
58.5
58.5
31
31
Winners
57
57
31
31
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
49%
49%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
18
18
7
7
Avg Aces
9
9
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
31/37
31/37
1st won total​
57/71
57/71
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
7/19
7/19
2nd won total​
26/38
26/38
!
37%
37%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
6/9
6/9
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3/4.5
3/4.5
50%
50%
Won
!
67%
67%
4
4
Conceded
2
2
4
4
Avg Conceded
1
1
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
3
3
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zverev Carreno-Busta
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 17 37
Pts 63-46 117-81
Total Points 109 198
Winners 31 57
%Winners 49% 49%

Zverev played 1 match while Carreno-Busta competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Zverev has played 2 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (2 vs 4). Therefore, Zverev played 20 games less than Carreno-Busta. The German scored 31 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 57 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zverev Carreno-Busta
Aces 7 18
Avg per match 7 9
1st in 37/56 71/109
%1st in 66% 65%
1st pts 31/37 57/71
%1st pts 84% 80%
2nd pts 7/19 26/38
%2nd pts 37% 68%

Zverev managed to score 7 aces . Carreno-Busta made 18 aces (9 per match). Zverev won 84% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zverev Carreno-Busta
Won 4 6
Converted 4/8 6/9
% Converted 50% 67%
Conceded 4 2
Saved 3 2
% Saved 75% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Alexander broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Zverev
R2
Khachanov		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 63-46 63-46
Total points 109 109
Winners 31 31
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 37/56 37/56
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 31/37 31/37
% 1st pts 84% 84%
2nd pts 7/19 7/19
% 2nd pts 37% 37%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1
Carreno-Busta
R1
Korda		 R2
Purcell		 Total
Score 7-5 6-1 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 18 37
pts 64-46 53-35 117-81
Total points 110 88 198
Winners 34 23 57
%Winners 53% 43% 49%
SERVE
Aces 7 11 18
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 44/66 27/43 71/109
% 1st in 67% 63% 65%
1st pts 34/44 23/27 57/71
% 1st pts 77% 85% 80%
2nd pts 13/22 13/16 26/38
% 2nd pts 59% 81% 68%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/5 3/4 6/9
Converted % 60% 75% 67%
Conceded 2 0 2
Saved 2/2 0/0 2
Saved % 100% – 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Zverev
More Stats
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Carreno-Busta

Click for FULL STATS