Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on P&G Grandstand. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.144
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 5.65
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 4th time that Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Zverev won 6-2 7-5 in the 3rd round in Monte carlo back in 2022.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Monte carlo 14-April-2022
Alexander Zverev
51 - 15win/loss
2
2
WWWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66-20 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 8-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the German got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-3 6-2). During the match, Zverev scored 63 points vs Khachanov’s 46. Zverev was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. Zverev broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Zverev has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (464-196). 21-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an aggregate 184-82 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he beat Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.
The German has an aggregate 50-15 win-loss record in 2024, 21-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Pablo Carreno-Busta
4 - 6win/loss
204
10
LLLWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-11 | 7-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-5 | 4-2 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 513, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after beating Sebastian Korda 7-5 6-1 and Max Purcell 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Purcell (6-3 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 53 points vs Purcell’s 35. Carreno-Busta was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta recorded 11 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carreno-Busta broke Purcell 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Pablo has a compiled 4-5 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 37 |
| Pts | 63-46 | 117-81 |
| Total Points | 109 | 198 |
| Winners | 31 | 57 |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% |
Zverev played 1 match while Carreno-Busta competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Zverev has played 2 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (2 vs 4). Therefore, Zverev played 20 games less than Carreno-Busta. The German scored 31 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 57 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 9 |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 71/109 |
| %1st in | 66% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 57/71 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 7/19 | 26/38 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 68% |
Zverev managed to score 7 aces . Carreno-Busta made 18 aces (9 per match). Zverev won 84% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Alexander broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Zverev | |||
| R2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 63-46 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 31/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/19 | 7/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Korda |
R2 Purcell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 37 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 53-35 | 117-81 | |
| Total points | 110 | 88 | 198 | |
| Winners | 34 | 23 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 43% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 11 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/66 | 27/43 | 71/109 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 23/27 | 57/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 85% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/16 | 26/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 81% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/4 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWWLW
LLLWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-6 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Arthur Fils/Nicolas JarryFils/Nicolas Jarry – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-4 6-75 10-8) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 7-63) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-64 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-76 7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-7(6) 7-6(7) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 7-6(8)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
