Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.069
Marta Kostyuk -> 8.6

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-2 6-1 in the semifinal in Indian Wells back in March 2024.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Marta Kostyuk – Indian Wells 15-March-2024

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
See all years

Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Varvara Gracheva 6-0 6-7(8) 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Iga defeated Gracheva (6-0 6-78 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 100 points vs Gracheva’s 68. Swiatek was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek recorded 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (35/47) of her 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Pole broke Gracheva 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (338-73). 23-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has an overall156-40 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3 and at the French Open where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.

Swiatek has an overall 53-6 win-loss record in 2024, 23-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Swiatek's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
26
High
16
LLWWWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-20 19-13 7-4 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 21, Marta reached the 3rd round after defeating Elise Mertens 6-4 2-6 6-4 and Lulu Sun 6-3 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Marta had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-3 7-5). During the match Kostyuk scored 80 points vs Sun’s 68. The Ukrainian was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk scored 8 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 65% of her first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Sun 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marta has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Marta’s best result of the year was reaching the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.

The Ukrainian has an aggregate 29-15 win-loss record in 2024, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.

Cincinnati
Kostyuk's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
M.Kostyuk
2h:11
2h:11
Time on court​
!
3h:47
3h:47
!
2h:11
2h:11
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
27
27
Games Played​
49
49
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
100
100
Total points​
168
168
100
100
Avg point​
84
84
35
35
Winners
71
71
35
35
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
35%
35%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
12
12
7
7
Avg Aces
6
6
2
2
Double Faults
23
23
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
11.5
11.5
35/47
35/47
1st won total​
71/106
71/106
!
74%
74%
1st won %
67%
67%
18/30
18/30
2nd won total​
33/70
33/70
60%
60%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
7/16
7/16
BP won
7/19
7/19
7/16
7/16
Avg BP won
3.5/9.5
3.5/9.5
44%
44%
Won
37%
37%
3
3
Conceded
19
19
3
3
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
2
2
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
1
1
Saved
14
14
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Kostyuk
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 27 49
Pts 100-68 168-162
Total Points 168 330
Winners 35 71
%Winners 35% 42%

Swiatek played 1 match while Kostyuk competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek surrendered 1 set, while Marta Kostyuk dropped 1 set. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Kostyuk (3 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 22 games less than Kostyuk. Swiatek scored 35 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Marta struck 71 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Kostyuk
Aces 7 12
Avg per match 7 6
1st in 47/77 106/176
%1st in 61% 60%
1st pts 35/47 71/106
%1st pts 74% 67%
2nd pts 18/30 33/70
%2nd pts 60% 47%

Swiatek scored 7 aces . Kostyuk blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Swiatek won 74% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Kostyuk
Won 7 7
Converted 7/16 7/19
% Converted 44% 37%
Conceded 3 19
Saved 1 14
% Saved 33% 74%
Times Broken 2 5

Swiatek broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Gracheva		 Total
Score 6-0 6-78 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 100-68 100-68
Total points 168 168
Winners 35 35
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 47/77 47/77
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 35/47 35/47
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 18/30 18/30
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/16 7/16
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2
Kostyuk
R1
Mertens		 R2
Sun		 Total
Score 6-4 2-6 6-4 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 28 21 49
pts 88-94 80-68 168-162
Total points 182 148 330
Winners 37 34 71
%Winners 42% 43% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 8 12
Double Faults 12 11 23
1st in 58/102 48/74 106/176
% 1st in 57% 65% 60%
1st pts 37/58 34/48 71/106
% 1st pts 64% 71% 67%
2nd pts 22/44 11/26 33/70
% 2nd pts 50% 42% 47%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/9 4/10 7/19
Converted % 33% 40% 37%
Conceded 10 9 19
Saved 7/10 7/9 14
Saved % 70% 78% 148%
Times Broken 3 2 5

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Swiatek
More Stats
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Kostyuk

Click for FULL STATS