Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo will face off in the semifinal of the Cary Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.87
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Gabriel Diallo
This will be the 3rd time that Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bellucci won 6-4 4-6 7-5 in the 1st round in the Nottingham 2 Challenger back in June 2024.
Mattia Bellucci
33 - 23win/loss
103
100
LLLWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 113 (career-high), Bellucci reached the semifinal after beating Elias Ymer 7-5 7-5, Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-2, Seong Chan Hong 6-4 6-2, Nishesh Basavareddy 6-2 6-2 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-1 6-3.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-1 6-3). During the match, Bellucci scored 57 points vs Kukushkin’s 33. Mattia was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Bellucci put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. Bellucci broke Kukushkin 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (216-124). 16-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a composed118-54 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Bellucci’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Nottingham 2 Challenger.
Bellucci has an overall 32-23 win-loss record in 2024, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Gabriel Diallo
31 - 19win/loss
87
86
LLWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155, Diallo got to the semifinal after defeating Eliot Spizzirri 7-6(3) 7-6(1), Shintaro Mochizuki 7-6(4) 6-2, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-2 1-6 6-2, Luca Van Assche 6-4 6-3 and Tristan Boyer 7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-4.
In the quarter, The Canadian defeated Boyer (7-66 6-71 6-4). During the match Diallo scored 114 points vs Boyer’s 109. Gabriel was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.
About the serving games, Diallo struck 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (54/69) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Diallo broke Boyer 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gabriel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
The Canadian has a compiled 31-18 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 92 | 125 |
| Pts | 349-261 | 414-358 |
| Total Points | 610 | 772 |
| Winners | 128 | 182 |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% |
Both Bellucci and Diallo played 5 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Gabriel Diallo lost 2 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bellucci has played 2 set(s) less than Diallo (10 vs 12). Therefore, Bellucci played 33 games less than Diallo. Mattia scored 128 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Gabriel bagged 182 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 52 |
| Avg per match | 5.4 | 10.4 |
| 1st in | 183/297 | 235/371 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 128/183 | 182/235 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 64/114 | 78/136 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 57% |
Bellucci managed to score 27 aces (5.4 per match). Diallo bagged 52 aces (10.4 per match). Bellucci won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 14 |
| Converted | 23/55 | 14/38 |
| % Converted | 42% | 37% |
| Conceded | 19 | 20 |
| Saved | 12 | 12 |
| % Saved | 63% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 8 |
Mattia broke his opponents 23 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Diallo broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||||||
| Q1 Ymer |
Q3 Agustin |
R1 Chan Hong |
R2 Basavareddy |
1/4 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 92 | |
| pts | 84-76 | 73-58 | 70-50 | 65-44 | 57-33 | 349-261 | |
| Total points | 160 | 131 | 120 | 109 | 90 | 610 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 29 | 22 | 19 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 44% | 41% | 34% | 33% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 39/73 | 46/67 | 35/57 | 35/55 | 28/45 | 183/297 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 69% | 61% | 64% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 32/46 | 29/35 | 22/35 | 19/28 | 128/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 70% | 83% | 63% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 10/21 | 12/22 | 14/20 | 11/17 | 64/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 55% | 70% | 65% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/13 | 3/11 | 5/11 | 6/9 | 23/55 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 31% | 27% | 45% | 67% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Diallo | |||||||
| Q1 Spizzirri |
Q3 Mochizuki |
R1 Lam Coleman Wong |
R2 Van |
1/4 Boyer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-61 | 7-64 6-2 | 6-2 1-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-66 6-71 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 36 | 125 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 71-57 | 80-71 | 66-50 | 114-109 | 414-358 | |
| Total points | 154 | 128 | 151 | 116 | 223 | 772 | |
| Winners | 36 | 28 | 33 | 31 | 54 | 182 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% | 41% | 47% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 52 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 46/75 | 34/60 | 49/75 | 37/58 | 69/103 | 235/371 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 57% | 65% | 64% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 28/34 | 33/49 | 31/37 | 54/69 | 182/235 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 82% | 67% | 84% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 15/26 | 12/26 | 12/21 | 19/34 | 78/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 58% | 46% | 57% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 3/8 | 4/11 | 3/6 | 3/8 | 14/38 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 38% | 36% | 50% | 38% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 67% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLWWW
LLWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-66 6-71 6-4) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-61) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin Gomez/Petros TsitsipasAgustin Gomez/Petros Tsitsipas – Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthNedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (4-6 6-3 10-3) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
