Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo will face off in the semifinal of the Cary Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.87
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Gabriel Diallo

This will be the 3^rd time that Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Bellucci won 6-4 4-6 7-5 in the 1^st round in the Nottingham 2 Challenger back in June 2024.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 113 (career-high), Bellucci reached the semifinal after beating Elias Ymer 7-5 7-5, Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-2, Seong Chan Hong 6-4 6-2, Nishesh Basavareddy 6-2 6-2 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-1 6-3.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-1 6-3). During the match, Bellucci scored 57 points vs Kukushkin’s 33. Mattia was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bellucci fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Bellucci put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. Bellucci broke Kukushkin 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (216-124). 16-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a composed118-54 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Bellucci’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Nottingham 2 Challenger.

Bellucci has an overall 32-23 win-loss record in 2024, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 155, Diallo got to the semifinal after defeating Eliot Spizzirri 7-6(3) 7-6(1), Shintaro Mochizuki 7-6(4) 6-2, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-2 1-6 6-2, Luca Van Assche 6-4 6-3 and Tristan Boyer 7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-4.

In the quarter, The Canadian defeated Boyer (7-6⁶ 6-7¹ 6-4). During the match Diallo scored 114 points vs Boyer’s 109. Gabriel was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.

About the serving games, Diallo struck 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (54/69) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Diallo broke Boyer 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gabriel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

The Canadian has a compiled 31-18 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bellucci	Diallo
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	92	125
Pts	349-261	414-358
Total Points	610	772
Winners	128	182
%Winners	37%	44%

Both Bellucci and Diallo played 5 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Gabriel Diallo lost 2 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bellucci has played 2 set(s) less than Diallo (10 vs 12). Therefore, Bellucci played 33 games less than Diallo. Mattia scored 128 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Gabriel bagged 182 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bellucci	Diallo
Aces	27	52
Avg per match	5.4	10.4
1st in	183/297	235/371
%1st in	62%	63%
1st pts	128/183	182/235
%1st pts	70%	77%
2nd pts	64/114	78/136
%2nd pts	56%	57%

Bellucci managed to score 27 aces (5.4 per match). Diallo bagged 52 aces (10.4 per match). Bellucci won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bellucci	Diallo
Won	23	14
Converted	23/55	14/38
% Converted	42%	37%
Conceded	19	20
Saved	12	12
% Saved	63%	60%
Times Broken	7	8

Mattia broke his opponents 23 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Diallo broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
	Q1 Ymer	Q3 Agustin	R1 Chan Hong	R2 Basavareddy	1/4 Kukushkin	Total
Score	7-5 7-5	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	24	18	18	16	16	92
pts	84-76	73-58	70-50	65-44	57-33	349-261
Total points	160	131	120	109	90	610
Winners	26	32	29	22	19	128
%Winners	31%	44%	41%	34%	33%	37%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	7	4	6	27
Double Faults	3	4	3	2	2	14
1st in	39/73	46/67	35/57	35/55	28/45	183/297
% 1st in	53%	69%	61%	64%	62%	62%
1st pts	26/39	32/46	29/35	22/35	19/28	128/183
% 1st pts	67%	70%	83%	63%	68%	70%
2nd pts	17/34	10/21	12/22	14/20	11/17	64/114
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	55%	70%	65%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	4	3	5	6	23
Converted	5/11	4/13	3/11	5/11	6/9	23/55
Converted %	45%	31%	27%	45%	67%	42%
Conceded	7	5	1	4	2	19
Saved	4/7	4/5	1/1	3/4	0/2	12
Saved %	57%	80%	100%	75%	0%	62%
Times Broken	3	1	0	1	2	7

Diallo
	Q1 Spizzirri	Q3 Mochizuki	R1 Lam Coleman Wong	R2 Van	1/4 Boyer	Total
Score	7-63 7-61	7-64 6-2	6-2 1-6 6-2	6-4 6-3	7-66 6-71 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	12
Tot Games	26	21	23	19	36	125
pts	83-71	71-57	80-71	66-50	114-109	414-358
Total points	154	128	151	116	223	772
Winners	36	28	33	31	54	182
%Winners	43%	39%	41%	47%	47%	44%
SERVE
Aces	10	9	9	13	11	52
Double Faults	3	3	6	2	5	19
1st in	46/75	34/60	49/75	37/58	69/103	235/371
% 1st in	61%	57%	65%	64%	67%	63%
1st pts	36/46	28/34	33/49	31/37	54/69	182/235
% 1st pts	78%	82%	67%	84%	78%	77%
2nd pts	20/29	15/26	12/26	12/21	19/34	78/136
% 2nd pts	69%	58%	46%	57%	56%	57%
Breaks
Won	1	3	4	3	3	14
Converted	1/5	3/8	4/11	3/6	3/8	14/38
Converted %	20%	38%	36%	50%	38%	37%
Conceded	5	3	5	3	4	20
Saved	4/5	2/3	2/5	2/3	2/4	12
Saved %	80%	67%	40%	67%	50%	61%
Times Broken	1	1	3	1	2	8

Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger

• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-6⁶ 6-7¹ 6-4) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Federico Agustin Gomez/Petros TsitsipasAgustin Gomez/Petros Tsitsipas – Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthNedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (4-6 6-3 10-3) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction