Gabriel Diallo and Tristan Boyer will fight against each other in the quarter of the Cary Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.4
Tristan Boyer -> 2.8

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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Tristan Boyer

This will be the 2^nd time that Gabriel Diallo and Tristan Boyer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Diallo (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Diallo won 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Sarasota Challenger back in April 2024.

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 155, Diallo reached the quarter after beating Eliot Spizzirri 7-6(3) 7-6(1), Shintaro Mochizuki 7-6(4) 6-2, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-2 1-6 6-2

and Luca Van Assche 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Van Assche (6-4 6-3). During the match, Diallo scored 66 points vs Van Assche’s 50. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Diallo managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Diallo broke Van Assche 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Diallo has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (114-68). 17-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Diallo has a compiled57-31 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

The Canadian has a compiled 30-18 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

Gabriel has never competed in this tournament before.

Tristan Boyer

Ranked no. 210, Boyer got to the quarter after beating Alexandre Muller 7-6(5) 6-4 and Hamad Medjedovic 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Medjedovic (6-2 6-1). During the match Boyer scored 56 points vs Medjedovic’s 35. Tristan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Boyer fired 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Tristan Boyer conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Boyer put 67% of his first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Boyer broke Medjedovic 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tristan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Merida Challenger where he beat Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

The American has a composed 23-21 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Diallo	Boyer
Match played	4	2
Tot Set	9	4
Tot Games	89	38
Pts	300-249	137-116
Total Points	549	253
Winners	128	75
%Winners	43%	55%

Diallo played 4 matches while Boyer competed in 2 matches. Diallo started his run from the qualifications while Boyer had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Gabriel Diallo lost 1 set while Tristan Boyer hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Diallo has played 5 sets more than Boyer (9 vs 4). Therefore, Diallo played 51 games more than Boyer. Gabriel scored 128 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Boyer blasted 75 winners (55%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Diallo	Boyer
Aces	41	8
Avg per match	10.3	4
1st in	166/268	97/147
%1st in	62%	66%
1st pts	128/166	75/97
%1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	59/102	21/50
%2nd pts	58%	42%

Diallo recorded 41 aces (10.3 per match). Boyer blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Diallo won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Boyer won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Diallo	Boyer
Won	11	6
Converted	11/30	6/11
% Converted	37%	55%
Conceded	16	14
Saved	10	13
% Saved	63%	93%
Times Broken	6	1

Gabriel broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Diallo conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Tristan broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded.

Diallo
	Q1 Spizzirri	Q3 Mochizuki	R1 Lam Coleman Wong	R2 Van	Total
Score	7-63 7-61	7-64 6-2	6-2 1-6 6-2	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	26	21	23	19	89
pts	83-71	71-57	80-71	66-50	300-249
Total points	154	128	151	116	549
Winners	36	28	33	31	128
%Winners	43%	39%	41%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	10	9	9	13	41
Double Faults	3	3	6	2	14
1st in	46/75	34/60	49/75	37/58	166/268
% 1st in	61%	57%	65%	64%	62%
1st pts	36/46	28/34	33/49	31/37	128/166
% 1st pts	78%	82%	67%	84%	77%
2nd pts	20/29	15/26	12/26	12/21	59/102
% 2nd pts	69%	58%	46%	57%	58%
Breaks
Won	1	3	4	3	11
Converted	1/5	3/8	4/11	3/6	11/30
Converted %	20%	38%	36%	50%	37%
Conceded	5	3	5	3	16
Saved	4/5	2/3	2/5	2/3	10
Saved %	80%	67%	40%	67%	64%
Times Broken	1	1	3	1	6

Boyer
	R1 Muller	R2 Medjedovic	Total
Score	7-65 6-4	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	23	15	38
pts	81-81	56-35	137-116
Total points	162	91	253
Winners	46	29	75
%Winners	57%	52%	55%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	8
Double Faults	2	6	8
1st in	63/96	34/51	97/147
% 1st in	66%	67%	66%
1st pts	46/63	29/34	75/97
% 1st pts	73%	85%	77%
2nd pts	14/33	7/17	21/50
% 2nd pts	42%	41%	42%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/5	4/6	6/11
Converted %	40%	67%	55%
Conceded	11	3	14
Saved	10/11	3/3	13
Saved %	91%	100%	48%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Christopher EubanksEubanks (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tristan BoyerBoyer (1-0) – H2H and prediction