Holger Rune and Nuno Borges will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:30 pm on COURT 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
Holger Rune -> 1.32
Nuno Borges -> 3.4
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Nuno Borges
This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Nuno Borges face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Rune won 6-0 6-2 in the 2nd round in Acapulco back in 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Nuno Borges – Acapulco 01-March-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 20-10 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Rune got to the 2nd round after beating Matteo Berrettini 2-6 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round against Berrettini, Rune recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Rune and Berrettini scored the same amount of points (70). However, the world no. 16 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Rune put 62% of his first serves in, winning 62% (26/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Berrettini 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Rune has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (236-122). 13-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a composed43-36 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Holger’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Brisbane.
Holger has an aggregate 30-16 win-loss record in 2024, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-33 | 17-14 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39 (career-high), the Portuguese got to the 2nd round after defeating Jeff Wolf 5-7 6-3 6-4, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(4) 6-1 and Adrian Mannarino 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Nuno defeated Mannarino (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match Borges scored 100 points vs Mannarino’s 86. The Portuguese was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Borges made 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 67% of his first serves in, winning 69% (47/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. Borges broke Mannarino 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Phoenix Challenger where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he beat Rafael Nadal in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Portuguese has an aggregate 30-20 win-loss record in 2024, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 77 |
| Pts | 70-70 | 266-227 |
| Total Points | 140 | 493 |
| Winners | 26 | 104 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Rune played 1 match while Borges competed in 3 matches. Borges started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune surrendered 1 set, while Nuno Borges lost 2 sets. Rune has played 5 set(s) less than Borges (3 vs 8). Therefore, Rune played 52 games less than Borges. Rune scored 26 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Borges recorded 104 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 42/68 | 152/251 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 104/152 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 58/99 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 59% |
Rune managed to score 4 aces . Borges managed to score 15 aces (5 per match). Rune won 62% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 12/28 |
| % Converted | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 |
| Saved | 0 | 13 |
| % Saved | 0% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Holger broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rune dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Borges broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R1 Berrettini | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 70-70 | 70-70 | |
| Total points | 140 | 140 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/68 | 42/68 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 26/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Borges | |||||
| Q1 Wolf | Q3 Vukic | R1 Mannarino | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | 7-64 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 20 | 26 | 77 | |
| pts | 98-89 | 68-52 | 100-86 | 266-227 | |
| Total points | 187 | 120 | 186 | 493 | |
| Winners | 38 | 19 | 47 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 47% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 0 | 8 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 56/91 | 28/59 | 68/101 | 152/251 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 47% | 67% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 19/28 | 47/68 | 104/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 21/31 | 19/33 | 58/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 68% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/5 | 3/11 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 80% | 27% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 1/2 | 9/10 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 50% | 90% | 183% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Max PurcellPurcell – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction