Max Purcell and Pablo Carreno-Busta will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Max Purcell who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Max Purcell is the pick to win this match.
Max Purcell -> 1.79
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Max Purcell vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
There is no head to head record between Max Purcell and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Max Purcell
20 - 23win/loss
105
40
LWLWLLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-24 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-28 | 45-17 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-29 | 21-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-14 | 13-9 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68, Purcell got to the 2nd round after defeating Tomas Machac 6-4 7-6(1).
In the 1st round, Max had a good straight sets win against Machac (6-4 7-61). During the match, Purcell scored 82 points vs Machac’s 63. Purcell was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Purcell bagged 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Max Purcell was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 94% (29/31) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Max broke Machac twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Purcell has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (282-209). 9-14 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Purcell has an aggregate 204-141 record in the last years on hard.
Purcell’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Eastbourne.
The Australian has an aggregate 20-22 win-loss record in 2024, 9-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 513, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Sebastian Korda 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Korda (7-5 6-1). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 64 points vs Korda’s 46. Pablo was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Carreno-Busta recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (34/44) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carreno-Busta broke Korda 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Pablo has a composed 3-5 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Purcell | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 19 |
| Pts | 82-63 | 64-46 |
| Total Points | 145 | 110 |
| Winners | 29 | 34 |
| %Winners | 35% | 53% |
Both Purcell and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Purcell and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Purcell played 4 games more than Carreno-Busta. The Australian scored 29 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo struck 34 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Purcell | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 7 |
| 1st in | 31/65 | 44/66 |
| %1st in | 48% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 29/31 | 34/44 |
| %1st pts | 94% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 13/22 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 59% |
Purcell blasted 15 aces . Carreno-Busta managed to score 7 aces . Purcell won 94% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Purcell | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Purcell broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Purcell | |||
| R1 Machac |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 82-63 | 82-63 | |
| Total points | 145 | 145 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/65 | 31/65 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 29/31 | 29/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 94% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 64-46 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/66 | 44/66 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 34/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Max PurcellPurcell – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
